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Summary
• Price action showed a bearish reversal after testing 0.495 resistance, with a potential breakdown below 0.488 support.
• Volatility expanded during late evening hours, with turnover surging 30% in the last 3 hours.
• RSI approached overbought during the 0.495 peak but entered oversold territory below 0.485.
• Volume confirmed the early-morning breakdown, with a 40% increase in trading activity.
• A 5-minute bearish engulfing pattern formed at 0.4925, suggesting short-term bearish momentum.
NEXPACE/Tether (NXPCUSDT) opened at 0.4948, reached a high of 0.4983, and closed at 0.4843 at 12:00 ET, with a low of 0.4820. Total volume was 1,842,208.3, and notional turnover amounted to $749,147.
Structure & Formations
Price tested the 0.495 resistance level multiple times before breaking down, with a 5-minute bearish engulfing pattern forming at 0.4925 as a key bearish signal. A breakdown below 0.488 support confirmed the bearish bias, and the 0.485–0.486 level appears to be a new support zone. On the daily chart, the 200-day Fibonacci level at 0.490–0.491 may provide near-term resistance on a rebound.
Moving Averages and Momentum
The 20-period and 50-period 5-minute EMA lines crossed bearishly, reinforcing the downward trend. RSI dropped into oversold territory after the breakdown, suggesting a potential pause in selling pressure. MACD showed a bearish crossover and negative divergence in the 0.488–0.492 range, confirming bearish momentum.

Volatility and Turnover
Volatility expanded during the late evening and early morning hours, with Bollinger Bands widening as price approached 0.490 and 0.485 levels. Volume surged by 40% during the breakdown, with turnover increasing by 30% in the last 3 hours. This volume confirmation supports the validity of the bearish move.
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