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Summary
• Price action shows a bullish reversal pattern and a retest of key support after midday decline.
• Momentum suggests overbought conditions late morning, but waning by late evening.
• Volume spikes during the downtrend confirm bearish pressure; recent increase supports consolidation.
NEXPACE/Tether (NXPCUSDT) opened at 0.4722 on 2025-12-07 12:00 ET, hitting a high of 0.4926 and a low of 0.4579 before closing at 0.4897 on 2025-12-08 12:00 ET. Total volume was 3,010,437.0 and turnover reached 1,449.94 in the 24-hour window.
Structure & Formations
Price tested a key support zone around 0.4600–0.4620 during the early evening session, where a bullish reversal pattern emerged. This support coincided with a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the earlier upward swing, suggesting it may hold going forward. A bearish engulfing pattern was seen midday during a pullback from 0.4926, indicating short-term selling pressure. A doji formed around 0.4695 in the early morning, signaling indecision and the potential for a trend shift.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, price closed above the 20-period and 50-period moving averages, reinforcing short-term bullish momentum. The 50-period MA acted as a dynamic support level during the consolidation phase late evening. On the daily chart, price remains above the 200-period MA but below the 100-period MA, suggesting a mixed near-term outlook.
MACD & RSI
The MACD line crossed above the signal line early morning, confirming a short-term bullish trend that lasted through the midday high. RSI reached overbought levels near 70 at 0.4926 but pulled back to neutral territory by 0.4897. A bearish divergence in RSI occurred during the late evening decline, suggesting possible exhaustion in the downtrend.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded during the early morning rally, pushing price to the upper Bollinger Band. A contraction occurred during the afternoon consolidation, suggesting a period of reduced trading interest. Price currently resides near the middle band, indicating a potential return to equilibrium but with no clear breakout sign.
Volume & Turnover
Volume increased significantly during the midday and early evening decline, confirming bearish momentum. Turnover aligned with the volume surge, validating the strength of the sell-off. However, volume during the recent consolidation phase has increased again, suggesting renewed interest as price approaches key support.
Fibonacci Retracements
The 61.8% retracement of the morning rally (from 0.464 to 0.4926) is at 0.477, a level that held during the afternoon pullback. A break below 0.4678 (38.2% retracement of the consolidation phase) could signal further downside. Price may find buyers near 0.4821 (61.8% of the consolidation from 0.4695 to 0.4897), a key psychological level.
Going forward, a break above 0.4926 could trigger renewed buying interest and a test of the next Fibonacci level at 0.496. However, traders should remain cautious of potential pullbacks if volume fails to confirm a sustained breakout.
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