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• NEXO/USDT rose to 1.130 before retracing, forming a bullish consolidation pattern.
• RSI suggests overbought conditions, while volume remains moderate during key upward moves.
• Price remains above the 20-period moving average on the 15-minute chart.
Nexo/Tether (NEXOUSDT) opened at $1.068 on 2025-11-07 at 12:00 ET and closed at $1.070 at 12:00 ET on 2025-11-08. The pair reached a high of $1.130 during the session and fell to a low of $1.062. Total volume for the 24-hour period was 317,262.3, while total turnover amounted to $181,460.46.
The price action for NEXOUSDT over the past 24 hours has been marked by a strong upward trend in the afternoon and early evening hours before tapering off toward the closing hours. A notable breakout occurred between 17:30 and 19:45 ET, where price surged from $1.075 to a high of $1.130. The formation appears to be a bullish consolidation pattern with resistance clustering around the $1.130 level and support near $1.062. A doji candle at the 2025-11-07 23:45 time frame and a long upper wick in the 02:45 candle on 2025-11-08 suggest hesitation among buyers.
Moving averages on the 15-minute chart indicate a bullish bias, with the price holding above the 20- and 50-period moving averages for most of the session. On the daily chart, the 50-period moving average remains slightly above the 100-period line, suggesting a mild upward trend. MACD showed a positive divergence in the afternoon as the price advanced, while RSI peaked at 68.7, indicating near overbought conditions.
Bollinger Bands reflected expanding volatility in the early and mid-session hours. The price remained in the upper half of the bands from 17:30 to 20:45 ET, aligning with strong buying pressure. As the session progressed, price gradually drifted back toward the midline of the bands, reflecting a cooling off in momentum. Volume spikes were observed during the breakout phase, with the candle at 19:45 ET showing a sharp drop in price despite strong volume, signaling potential indecision.
Volume and turnover were moderately elevated during the 17:30–19:45 ET window but declined sharply after 22:00 ET. The divergence between the price and turnover after 22:00 ET is a key area to monitor, as it could indicate weakening buying interest. The price has also seen significant Fibonacci retracement levels being tested during the pullback, with the 61.8% retracement at $1.096 being a key level of support that held during the session.


Backtest Hypothesis
To build upon the above technical indicators, a backtesting strategy could be applied using Bullish Engulfing patterns identified on the 15-minute chart. This pattern typically involves a large bullish candle following a smaller bearish one, signaling a potential reversal. Once confirmed, a trade signal would be generated with a 3-day holding period. Historical data from 2022-01-01 to 2025-11-08 would be used to evaluate the profitability and risk-adjusted returns of this strategy. The performance report would include metrics such as Sharpe ratio, win rate, and maximum drawdown, alongside visualizations of trade signals and portfolio value over time.
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