Summary
• Price formed a bullish engulfing pattern near key support, indicating potential reversal.
• Momentum shifted with RSI dipping into oversold territory and rebounding sharply.
• Volatility expanded as price broke above the upper Bollinger Band late afternoon ET.
• Volume spiked during the rally, confirming strength in the upward move.
• 20-period MA crossed above 50-period MA, suggesting short-term bullish momentum.
Neo/Tether (NEOUSDT) opened at $4.147 at 12:00 ET–1 and closed at $4.37 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of $4.377 and a low of $4.049. Total volume across the 24-hour window was 198,328.95, with notional turnover of approximately $831,352.
Structure & Formations
The price experienced a sharp pullback in the early hours, finding support near $4.064 and forming a bullish engulfing pattern. This pattern, coupled with a doji near $4.113, suggests a temporary balance between buyers and sellers.
The late afternoon rally above the upper Bollinger Band confirmed a breakout, indicating a shift in sentiment.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period MA crossed above the 50-period MA, signaling a short-term bullish bias. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA appears to act as a dynamic support level, with the price showing resilience above the 200-period MA.
Momentum and Overbought/Oversold Conditions
RSI spent most of the session in neutral territory but dipped into oversold levels near 29 during the early morning pullback. A rapid rebound followed, with RSI crossing into overbought territory after the afternoon rally. MACD showed a positive crossover and rising histogram, confirming bullish momentum.
Volatility and Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded significantly during the late afternoon surge, with prices moving above the upper Bollinger Band. The bands had previously contracted in the early hours, setting the stage for a breakout. The current move above the upper band could signal a continuation if buyers maintain pressure.
Volume and Turnover
Volume surged during the late afternoon rally, particularly between 16:00 and 17:00 ET, with a single 5-minute candle showing a volume of 9,148.6, which was among the largest of the 24-hour period. Turnover aligned with the volume spike, indicating strong conviction in the move.
Looking ahead, the price appears to be consolidating near resistance around $4.37–$4.40. A break above this level could accelerate the move higher, targeting the next Fibonacci level at ~$4.44. However, a retest of the $4.32–$4.33 range could trigger a pullback if buyers falter. Investors should monitor volume and RSI for signs of waning momentum or a potential reversal.
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