Summary
• Price opened at 0.02717 and closed at 0.02711 with a low of 0.02635 and high of 0.02753.
• Heavy volume at 6201682.0 coincided with a sharp decline after 03:30 ET.
• A bearish engulfing pattern emerged at 03:30–03:45 ET as price dropped from 0.02718 to 0.0271.
• Volume-driven pullback from 0.02745 to 0.02711 confirmed bearish
.
• Price remains near key 61.8% Fibonacci level from the 24-hour high.
Price and Structure
Neiro Ethereum/Yen (NEIROJPY) opened at 0.02717 on 2025-11-09 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.02711 on 2025-11-10 at 12:00 ET. The 24-hour range was 0.02635 to 0.02753, with a total trading volume of 6,201,682 and turnover (notional value) at approximately $168,446. The price experienced a sharp bearish reversal in the early hours of the morning, with a strong bearish engulfing pattern forming as price moved from 0.02718 to 0.0271 in just 15 minutes.
Moving Averages and Momentum
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages crossed bearishly, suggesting a possible continuation of the downward trend. The 50-period line remained above the 100-period line on the daily chart, indicating medium-term bearish bias. Momentum appeared to slow near the 0.0265–0.0267 range, which may act as a short-term support level. The price may find resistance around 0.0272–0.0273, where prior highs occurred.
MACD and RSI Indicators
MACD remained bearish, with a negative histogram and the signal line crossing below the MACD line, reinforcing the sell bias. RSI moved into oversold territory after the sharp decline, but it did not remain there long, suggesting a potential bounce is possible if volume increases. However, the lack of follow-through volume may limit the strength of any short-term rebound.
Volatility and Fibonacci Levels
Bollinger Bands widened significantly during the 24-hour period, reflecting increased volatility. Price briefly touched the lower band, indicating extreme bearish pressure. Fibonacci retracement levels from the 24-hour high of 0.02753 show 61.8% at 0.02692 and 78.6% at 0.02644, both critical thresholds. Price is currently hovering near the 61.8% level, where a potential reversal or continuation could occur depending on volume.
Backtest Hypothesis
Given the observed RSI oversold conditions and key Fibonacci levels, a potential backtest strategy could be built using an RSI-based entry signal. Assuming the default RSI period of 14 and an oversold threshold of 30, a buy signal could be triggered when RSI dips below 30 and confirms with a close above the 50-period moving average. A 3-day holding period would then be tested against the selected benchmark. Given the current data gap for the NEIROJPY ticker, confirmation of the exact symbol and exchange is required to proceed with a full backtest from 2022-01-01 to present.
Forward-Looking View and Risk
Looking ahead, NEIROJPY appears to be consolidating around key support and Fibonacci levels. A break below 0.02655 could trigger a larger downward move, while a recovery above 0.02717 may indicate a bearish bounce. Traders should remain cautious of potential volatility and confirm volume patterns before entering long positions. As always, market conditions can shift quickly in crypto, and unexpected macroeconomic or sector-specific events could override technical signals.
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