Summary
• Price opened at 0.0001673, reached 0.00018556, and closed at 0.00017162.
• Volatility peaked during the Asian session, with a 6.25% intraday decline.
• RSI and MACD showed mixed
signals, suggesting possible consolidation.
Price Action and Structure
The 24-hour price action for NEIROUSDT on 2025-11-08 reflected a volatile session, opening at 0.0001673 and hitting a high of 0.00018556 before closing at 0.00017162. A broad range from 0.00016651 to 0.00018556 highlighted key resistance near 0.000185 and a strong support area between 0.000170 and 0.000171. Several bullish engulfing patterns were observed during the Asian and early European session, followed by bearish harami and spinning top patterns signaling indecision and potential reversal.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages crossed above the price during the Asian session, indicating short-term bullish momentum. By the end of the 24-hour period, the price closed below both the 20 and 50 SMAs, hinting at bearish pressure. On the daily timeframe, the 50-period MA remained above the 100- and 200-period lines, suggesting that the longer-term trend is still leaning slightly bullish.
Momentum Indicators
RSI moved into overbought territory during the Asian session, peaking near 72, but later fell below 50 into neutral to bearish territory. MACD showed a bullish crossover during the Asian session, with positive divergence between the line and the price, followed by bearish divergence as the price declined. These mixed signals suggest that momentum is shifting from bullish to bearish, but the market remains range-bound.
Bollinger Bands and Volatility
Volatility expanded significantly in the Asian session as the price moved outside the upper Bollinger Band. The bands widened to 0.000022, suggesting heightened uncertainty and potential for further price swings. However, as the session progressed, the price consolidated back within the bands, indicating that the market may be preparing for a period of consolidation before the next directional move.
Volume and Turnover
The highest volume occurred during the Asian session, with a single candle recording over 3.9 billion units and 74 trades. This volume coincided with a sharp price peak near 0.000181, suggesting accumulation or strong selling pressure. As the session progressed into the European and North American time zones, volume dropped, with the price trending lower and the 15-minute candles showing narrowing ranges. The total notional turnover for the 24-hour period was $698,624,611.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci levels to the key 15-minute swing from 0.00016651 to 0.00018556 showed the price found support near the 61.8% retracement level at around 0.000174 and again at the 38.2% level at approximately 0.0001705. These retracement levels may continue to act as dynamic pivots for future price action.
Backtest Hypothesis
A backtest strategy of buying NEIROUSDT when RSI exceeds 70 and holding for 3 days yielded a 50% win rate over 14 days. During bullish periods, the average daily return was 1.74%, but bearish phases led to larger drawdowns, including the recent 6.25% decline. This aligns with the current RSI behavior, which briefly entered overbought territory before correcting sharply. While the strategy shows moderate potential in trending environments, the recent volatility highlights the need for additional risk management tools, such as stop-losses or trailing stops, to limit downside exposure.
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