Summary
• Price formed key support at $0.01562 and rallied to a 24-hour high of $0.01621.
• A bearish reversal pattern emerged near $0.01608 with increasing bearish momentum.
• Volatility surged post-noon ET, with a 15.3% price drop in 4.5 hours.
• Volume spiked at $0.01621 and again near support at $0.01562, indicating clustered activity.
• RSI entered oversold territory below 30, suggesting a potential bounce, but MACD signaled bearish divergence.
Mubarak/Tether (MUBARAKUSDT) opened at $0.01573 on 2025-12-24 12:00 ET, reached a high of $0.01621, and closed at $0.01563 by 2025-12-25 12:00 ET, after hitting a low of $0.01562. The 24-hour volume totaled 11.83 million contracts, with a notional turnover of $1,837,314.
Structure & Formations
Price action revealed a key bearish reversal pattern at $0.01608, coinciding with a descending wedge on the 5-minute chart. A deep red candle on the 5-minute timeframe at 2025-12-25 08:00 ET confirmed the breakdown, with a tail at $0.01614. The price then tested and held at a Fibonacci support level of $0.01562 (61.8% retracement of the prior uptrend). A potential bullish engulfing pattern emerged near the close, suggesting a short-term bounce is possible.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, price remained below both the 20SMA and 50SMA throughout the session, reinforcing bearish momentum. On the daily chart, the 50DMA currently resides at $0.01578, with the 200DMA at $0.01568. The price has closed below the 50DMA for three consecutive days, increasing the likelihood of a short-term bearish continuation.
Momentum Indicators
RSI dropped to 28 by 2025-12-25 11:45 ET, signaling an oversold condition. However, MACD showed bearish divergence, with the histogram contracting despite a price bounce near $0.01575. This suggests the bullish momentum may be weakening, and a further test of support is likely.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded significantly after 08:00 ET, as price moved from within the lower band to the upper band in just 45 minutes. After the sharp decline, price remained within the lower half of the bands for the remainder of the day, indicating a period of consolidation.
Volume & Turnover
Volume surged at key price levels: $0.01621 (1.31M contracts), $0.01608 (1.22M contracts), and $0.01562 (862,230 contracts). Turnover followed the same pattern, peaking at $0.01621 ($2.12M) and $0.01562 ($136K). The divergence between rising price and falling volume post-08:00 ET signaled weakening bullish conviction.
Fibonacci Retracements
A key 61.8% retracement level at $0.01562 held as strong support, with price rebounding from this level after a 4.5-hour decline. On the 5-minute chart, the 38.2% retracement level at $0.01584 acted as resistance in the late morning session.
The price appears to be entering a consolidation phase after the sharp drop to $0.01562. A potential rebound to the $0.01585–$0.01590 range could occur, but a breakdown below $0.01562 would signal a deeper bearish move. Investors should remain cautious as the pair may experience renewed volatility over the next 24 hours.
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