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Summary
• Price broke key support at 4.4e-06, triggering a 0.5% decline in MTLBTC.
• MACD turned bearish with negative divergence, signaling weakening momentum.
• Low volume amid price decline suggests lack of conviction in the move.
• 20-period MA on 5-min chart now above price, reinforcing short-term bearish bias.
Metal DAO/Bitcoin (MTLBTC) opened at 4.44e-06 on 2025-12-07 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of 4.44e-06 and a low of 4.34e-06, closing at 4.34e-06 at 12:00 ET on 2025-12-08. Total trading volume stood at 12,891.2, with a notional turnover of approximately $1,297,213.
Structure & Formations
The pair broke below a key 5-minute support level at 4.4e-06, confirming a bearish shift. A bearish engulfing pattern formed around 22:15 ET, followed by a long lower shadow doji at 05:45 ET, suggesting indecision. Key support now sits at 4.34e-06, with resistance retested at 4.4e-06.
Technical Indicators
MACD turned negative and crossed below the signal line, showing bearish momentum. RSI dipped into oversold territory near 30, indicating potential for a short-term rebound. Bollinger Bands have widened slightly, reflecting increasing volatility as price moves near the lower band.
Volume and Turnover
Volume spiked at 19:45 ET and again at 07:45 ET, coinciding with downward moves, but turnover failed to confirm these spikes. This divergence suggests the bearish momentum may be weakening.
**

Fibonacci Retracements
The 61.8% Fibonacci level of the recent 5-minute upswing was broken, aligning with the key 4.34e-06 level. This suggests a possible extension lower to the 4.30e-06 area if the trend continues.
The next 24 hours may see consolidation near the 4.34e-06 level, with potential for a pullback if the RSI rebounds. Investors should remain cautious of a possible short-term bounce but watch for retests of key support levels for confirmation of further declines.
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