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Summary
• MBLUSDT opened at $0.001377, reached $0.00147, and closed at $0.001372.
• Volatility surged in the 14:15–14:30 ET window with a high of $0.00147 and a pullback to $0.001389.
• Average 15-min volume is ~22 million, with total 24-h volume of 141.2 million and turnover of ~$0.197.
MovieBloc/Tether (MBLUSDT) opened at $0.001377 on 2025-11-10 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of $0.001470 by 14:15 ET, and closed at $0.001372 at 12:00 ET the following day. Total trading volume for the 24-hour period was approximately 141.2 million, with a notional turnover of roughly $0.197.
Price action shows a clear short-term bearish bias, as the asset retested and fell below key 15-min and daily support levels. A bearish engulfing pattern formed at the session’s high, confirming the reversal. The 20- and 50-period moving averages on the 15-min chart are both below the price, reinforcing the downtrend. The 50-period daily MA remains a critical level to watch, as the price has failed to hold above it multiple times over the past 48 hours.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 15-min chart has remained in overbought territory for a brief period before the sharp correction, signaling a potential top. The MACD crossed into negative territory with bearish divergence, suggesting weakening upward
. Bollinger Bands show a recent widening phase, indicating rising volatility, with price near the lower band at the 24-h close. This pattern is typical in consolidation or reversal phases.A bearish divergence is visible in the volume profile, as the strongest price rally (up to $0.001470) was supported by relatively normal volume, but the subsequent sell-off occurred with sharply elevated volume. This confirms bearish conviction among traders. Fibonacci retracement levels on the recent 15-min swing show that the price has fallen to 61.8% of the rally from $0.00137 to $0.00147, suggesting a possible near-term bottom or a continuation of the downtrend if the level is broken.
The provided backtest of the “RSI Overbought & MACD Death-Cross Short” strategy reveals a modest positive return of +6.85% over three years but with a high risk profile. The 22.28% maximum drawdown and low Sharpe ratio of 0.17 suggest that the strategy is not significantly better than passive alternatives. While the average win-to-loss ratio is favorable, the overall edge is weak. Given the current overbought RSI and bearish MACD crossover observed in today’s 15-min data, the strategy would have generated a short signal consistent with the recent price action. However, based on the backtest’s poor risk-adjusted return, investors may want to consider adding trend filters or tightening stop-loss levels to improve risk control.
Looking ahead, MBLUSDT appears to remain in a bearish phase, with support currently at $0.001369 and resistance at $0.001402. A break below the 61.8% Fibonacci level could trigger further selling. However, traders should remain cautious about mean reversion if volume dries up after the recent outflow. A sharp rebound above $0.001405 could reintroduce short-term bullish momentum, but bearish indicators are still dominant.
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