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Summary
• Price action shows a bearish breakdown from a key resistance around 3.10–3.13.
• RSI and MACD signal weakening momentum with overbought levels dissolving into oversold territory.
• Volume spiked during the sharp selloff, suggesting increased conviction in downside.
• Bollinger Bands widened, highlighting a period of heightened volatility in the last 24 hours.
• A potential bullish reversal may form near 2.90–2.92, with a 38.2% Fib level offering short-term support.
Moonriver/Tether (MOVRUSDT) opened at 3.093 on December 10 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of 3.133, a low of 2.88, and closed at 2.912 on December 11 at 12:00 ET. Total 24-hour volume was 263,394.589 MOVR, with notional turnover of $767,473. The asset faced downward pressure throughout, with a sharp correction from 3.133 to 2.912.
Structure & Formations
Price broke below key resistance at 3.10–3.13 during the evening hours on December 10, followed by a deep retracement down to 2.88 by midday on the 11th. A bearish engulfing pattern formed at the high of 3.133, confirming the reversal. A potential support zone appears at 2.90–2.92, where price briefly bounced after the sell-off.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, the 20 and 50-period SMAs crossed bearishly near 3.10, reinforcing the breakdown. Daily moving averages (50, 100, and 200) suggest
MACD & RSI
The MACD line crossed below the signal line near the 3.10 level, indicating bearish momentum. RSI dropped from overbought (>60) to oversold (<30) during the selloff, suggesting exhaustion. A bullish divergence on RSI could hint at a potential bounce in the near term.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands expanded significantly during the selloff, from 3.13 to 2.88, signaling heightened volatility. Price closed near the lower band, which may offer a short-term floor. A retest of the upper band would require a strong reversal.
Volume & Turnover
Volume surged during the 19:15–20:30 ET window as price fell from 3.11 to 2.90. Turnover spiked alongside the drop, confirming bearish conviction. A divergence appears in the final hours as price bottomed but volume waned, suggesting possible near-term consolidation.
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Fibonacci Retracements
Applying 5-minute retracement levels to the swing from 2.88 to 3.13 shows the 38.2% level at 3.01 and the 61.8% at 2.95. Daily retracements from a larger high of 3.13 (if present) point to key support at 2.90–2.92, where buyers may step in.
Looking ahead, a retest of the 3.00–3.05 range could offer a potential bounce scenario, but a break below 2.88 may target 2.85–2.80. Investors should remain cautious and watch for volume confirmation on any upward moves.
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