Summary
• Price declined sharply from 0.3454 to 0.3202, breaking key support levels.
• RSI and MACD indicate bearish momentum with no overbought conditions.
• Volatility spiked near 0.3360 and 0.3200, with Bollinger Bands widening.
• On-balance volume confirmed the downtrend with consistent bearish volume.
• Fibonacci retracements suggest potential near-term support at 0.3160–0.3150.
The 24-hour period began at 0.3454 and closed at 0.3202 on 2025-12-23 at 12:00 ET. The pair reached a high of 0.3472 and a low of 0.3155. Total volume was approximately 9,428,999.6 and turnover (notional value) was roughly $3,032,780.
Structure and Candlestick Patterns
Price action revealed a strong bearish bias, with a series of lower lows and lower highs dominating the 5-minute chart. A key bearish engulfing pattern formed around 19:30 ET as price dropped from 0.3408 to 0.3356. A significant breakdown occurred below 0.3316, triggering further selling into the session close.
Technical Indicators
The 20- and 50-period moving averages on the 5-minute chart were in a steep downward alignment, reinforcing the bearish trend. RSI hovered near the 40–30 range, suggesting moderate momentum but no overbought conditions. MACD remained in negative territory with bearish divergence, indicating sustained selling pressure.
Bollinger Bands and Volatility
Bollinger Bands widened significantly during the selloff, especially between 19:30 and 20:30 ET, as volatility surged. Price spent a large portion of the session trading near the lower band, suggesting heightened bearish sentiment. A narrowing of bands has not yet occurred, pointing to ongoing price discovery.
Volume and Turnover
Volume spiked during key breakdowns, particularly around 0.3360 and 0.3200, where large bearish candles emerged with high notional turnover. The on-balance volume indicator confirmed the downward move, as buying interest failed to materialize at key levels.
Fibonacci Retracements
On the most recent 5-minute swing (0.3472 to 0.3155), Fibonacci levels indicate potential support at 0.3243 (38.2%) and 0.3160 (61.8%). Price briefly tested 0.3155 and bounced, suggesting a possible short-term floor near 0.3150–0.3160.
Forward-looking, the price may test the 0.3150 level before resuming a broader correction phase. Investors should monitor for a reversal candle or a sustained break above 0.3224 for signs of a near-term rebound, though the immediate bias remains bearish with elevated downside risk ahead.
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