Summary
• Price surged from 0.4274 to 0.4808, closing at 0.4661 amid strong volume.
•
accelerated midday with a sharp bullish reversal, pushing price above 0.45.
• Key resistance appears near 0.4661, while support holds around 0.4466–0.4505.
The Maple Finance/Tether pair (SYRUPUSDT) opened at 0.4274 on 2025-11-07 12:00 ET and surged to an intraday high of 0.4808 by the morning of 2025-11-08. The price closed at 0.4661 on 12:00 ET, with total volume reaching 12.2 million USDT equivalent and notional turnover hitting $5.56 million over 24 hours. The price action suggests increasing bullish momentum following a key breakout.
Structure & Formations
The 24-hour OHLC data reveals multiple bullish formations, including a strong
Bullish Engulfing pattern forming around 05:00–06:00 ET, as price surged from 0.4758 to 0.4805. A
Topping Doji formed later in the morning, near 0.4805, suggesting temporary consolidation after a sharp rally. The most significant support appears at
0.4505–0.4563, reinforced by a cluster of rejection candles in the 07:00–09:00 ET window. A key resistance level emerges around
0.4661–0.4673, where price stalled late morning before reversing.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the
50-period MA crossed above the 20-period MA near 05:15–06:00 ET, confirming a short-term bullish bias. On the daily timeframe (calculated from 15-min data), the
100-period MA is approaching the
200-period MA, suggesting a potential bullish crossover in the next 24–48 hours. The
50-period MA is currently above both, reinforcing the trend.
MACD & RSI
The
MACD histogram showed a sharp positive expansion between 05:00–07:00 ET, peaking at +0.0085, aligning with the breakout from 0.4758–0.4805. The
RSI climbed into overbought territory (70–75) by 06:00–07:00 ET, suggesting short-term pullbacks could occur. However, RSI has since retreated to mid-50s, indicating momentum is still in favor of the bulls.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded sharply during the morning hours, with the
Bollinger Band width increasing by nearly 40% from 0.4758–0.4805. Price traded near the upper band from 05:00–07:00 ET, signaling strong buying pressure. A contraction in band width has since followed, suggesting a potential pause in trading activity.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked sharply around 05:00–07:00 ET, with a 15-minute volume of
1.88 million USDT equivalent at 05:00 ET, confirming the breakout. Notional turnover also surged during the same period, with a peak of
$893,288 at 05:45 ET. A divergence between price and volume occurred in the late afternoon, with falling turnover despite a marginal price recovery, suggesting short-term caution.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci retracements to the 0.4274–0.4805 swing, the
61.8% level is currently at 0.4655, which closely aligns with the 12:00 ET close of 0.4661. This level appears to be a critical consolidation point. The
38.2% retracement at 0.4545 coincided with a cluster of rejections, indicating strong near-term support. A break above 0.4661 could target 0.4758 on the next leg up.
Backtest Hypothesis
Given the observed
Bullish Engulfing and
Topping Doji patterns, a potential backtest hypothesis would involve entering long on a confirmed breakout above the 0.4758–0.4805 range with a tight stop just below 0.4505. Historical volume and RSI overbought readings support this as a high-probability setup for a short-term holding period. However, due to a recent data-source error, the Bullish Marubozu pattern for this ticker is currently unavailable; once resolved, further refinement of the hypothesis could include using those patterns as confirmation signals for additional entries.
Comments
No comments yet