Market Overview for MANTRA/Bitcoin (OMBTC) on 2025-10-14
• MANTRA/Bitcoin (OMBTC) traded in a narrow range early, followed by a sharp intraday rally peaking near $1.48e-06 before consolidating.
• Price declined in the latter half, closing at $1.16e-06 after a 12.5% drop from the day’s high, with volume spiking during the upward move.
• Volatility increased significantly during the 21:00–23:00 ET window, with a large bullish candle on 21:45 ET followed by a bearish retracement.
• RSI-14 could not be retrieved, but overbought and oversold levels were evident in candle behavior and volume spikes.
• Fibonacci retracements of the $1.16e-06–$1.48e-06 move show 61.8% support near $1.23e-06, which was tested multiple times during the day.
Price MovementMOVE-- and Volatility
MANTRA/Bitcoin (OMBTC) opened at $1.0e-06 on 2025-10-13 at 12:00 ET and closed at $1.16e-06 on 2025-10-14 at 12:00 ET. The 24-hour high reached $1.48e-06, while the low hit $9.9e-06. Total volume for the period amounted to approximately 1,497,131.3 units, with a notional turnover of roughly $1.704 BTC. Price action showed a clear trend reversal from a sharp upward move in the late evening to a gradual pullback through the night and early morning.
Structure and Patterns
The 15-minute chart reveals a large bullish candle at 21:45 ET (2025-10-13) which marked the high for the day and was followed by a bearish engulfing pattern at 22:00 ET. Later in the session, a long lower shadow on the 00:15 ET candle indicated a temporary rejection of lower levels. A doji at 02:00 ET on 2025-10-14 suggested indecision and signaled a possible consolidation phase. The price found strong support near $1.16e-06, which held twice during the session.
Volatility and Bollinger Bands
Volatility surged during the rally and peaked with a 21:45 ET candle that closed at $1.38e-06. The price remained within the Bollinger Bands for most of the session, with a minor expansion noted during the 21:45–23:00 ET period. By the early morning hours, volatility decreased, and the price closed within the lower band of the bands, indicating a return to a more subdued phase. The bands may contract further ahead if this trend continues.
MACD and Momentum
The 15-minute MACD showed a positive divergence during the rally from $1.0e-06 to $1.48e-06, with the MACD line peaking at $4.41e-06. However, a bearish crossover followed soon after, coinciding with the bearish engulfing pattern at 22:00 ET. Momentum appears to have weakened after 00:00 ET, with the MACD line returning to the zero line by the end of the session. This suggests that the upward move may have exhausted its short-term strength and could face resistance on any further test of $1.23e-06 or higher.
Fibonacci Retracements and Moving Averages
The key Fibonacci levels drawn from the $1.0e-06–$1.48e-06 swing show support at 61.8% near $1.23e-06 and 50% near $1.24e-06. Price briefly tested the 61.8% level multiple times but failed to break through. On the 20-period moving average (15-minute), price remained above the 20SMA for the first half of the session but fell below it during the late-night consolidation. The 50SMA on the same timeframe acted as a dynamic resistance during the pullback.
Backtest Hypothesis
A potential backtest strategy might involve using the 15-minute RSI-14 indicator to identify overbought (>70) and oversold (<30) conditions. Given that RSI data for “OMBTC” could not be retrieved, a proxy approach would involve using the price behavior and candle patterns discussed, particularly the bearish engulfing and doji patterns, as alternative entry triggers. For a more robust analysis, the RSI-based strategy could be backtested using similar high-liquidity tickers or confirmed with additional data sources. If RSI < 30 is confirmed as a potential buy signal, a 3-day holding period could be evaluated for profitability.
Descifrar los patrones del mercado y desarrollar estrategias de negociación rentables en el sector cripto.
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