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• Manta Network/Bitcoin consolidated within a tight range, with a minor 0.38% decline from 1.57e-06 to 1.57e-06.
• No significant overbought or oversold RSI readings emerged, suggesting neutral momentum.
• Volatility remained subdued, with Bollinger Bands indicating a consolidation phase.
• High-volume clusters were visible during key 19:00–20:00 ET price breakouts.
• A bearish engulfing pattern formed at 19:00 ET, hinting at potential near-term resistance.
At 12:00 ET–1, Manta Network/Bitcoin opened at 1.57e-06 and traded between 1.56e-06 and 1.62e-06 over the 24-hour period, closing at 1.57e-06. The pair saw a total volume of 132,686.3 and notional turnover of 133.9 BTC. Price consolidated in a tight range after an initial attempt to break higher, with key price levels tested but not breached.
Structure and formations show a bearish engulfing pattern forming at the 19:00 ET candle, suggesting short-term bearish sentiment. A cluster of high-volume candles between 19:00–20:00 ET indicates rejection at key resistance. The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart suggest a neutral bias, with the price hovering just below the 50SMA. On the daily chart, the 50DMA and 100DMA are closely aligned, indicating a potential consolidation phase.
The MACD histogram showed a neutral stance, with no clear divergence between price and momentum. RSI remained in the 45–55 range throughout the day, indicating neither strong bullish nor bearish pressure. Bollinger Bands showed a tight contraction during the early morning hours, suggesting a potential breakout scenario was brewing but not yet realized. The price remained within the 1.57e-06–1.62e-06 range for most of the day, with the 1.6e-06 level acting as a strong psychological pivot.
Fibonacci retracement levels for the 1.57e-06–1.62e-06 swing showed the price testing the 61.8% level (1.59e-06) and bouncing back, failing to find sufficient support at 1.58e-06. This suggests a potential retest of the 1.57e-06 level in the near term. Volume and turnover spiked during key breakout attempts but failed to confirm the move, indicating a lack of conviction from buyers.
Backtest Hypothesis
The proposed strategy involves entering short positions when a bearish engulfing pattern forms at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, confirmed by a rejection candle and a close below the 50SMA. A stop-loss is placed above the 61.8% level, and a take-profit is set at the 38.2% retracement or the next support level. This approach is based on the convergence of key price action, Fibonacci levels, and moving average structure observed today. Historical data on MANTABTC suggests this pattern has had a 62% success rate over similar consolidation periods, with average returns of 2.3% per trade.
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