Summary
• Price opened at $0.677 and traded between $0.676 and $0.709 before closing at $0.669.
• Momentum waned after a short-lived rebound, with RSI dipping into oversold territory.
• Volatility expanded mid-day before retreating, with volume peaking at 44K+ in 15-minute intervals.
• Bollinger Bands widened, indicating increased uncertainty and potential for a breakout or reversal.
• Fibonacci retracements suggest potential support at $0.656–$0.660 and resistance near $0.682–$0.686.
Manchester City Fan Token/Tether (CITYUSDT) opened at $0.677 on 2025-11-08 at 12:00 ET and closed at $0.669 by 12:00 ET on 2025-11-09. During the 24-hour period, the pair reached a high of $0.709 and a low of $0.676. Total volume reached 288,123.99, and turnover was approximately $164,779. The market appears to be consolidating after an early morning rally and a late-day pullback, suggesting possible indecision or profit-taking among short-term traders.
Structure & Formations
Price action formed a bearish reversal pattern early on, with a bullish engulfing candle at $0.684–$0.689 giving way to a series of bearish hammers and doji as the session progressed. Key support levels appear at $0.660–$0.656, with a critical psychological level at $0.670. A retest of these levels may trigger renewed selling pressure or short-covering rallies.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, price fell below the 20 and 50-period SMAs, indicating bearish bias. Daily moving averages (50/100/200) remain mixed, with the 50-period line currently at $0.681 and the 100-period at $0.687, suggesting a potential reversal could occur if buyers push the price back above these levels.
MACD & RSI
The MACD remained negative throughout the session, with the histogram narrowing toward the end of the 24-hour period, indicating fading bearish momentum. RSI dropped to 32 by the close, signaling oversold conditions and raising the possibility of a short-term bounce.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded during mid-day trading, pushing the Bollinger Bands to a width of 0.028, with price testing the lower band at $0.660–$0.665 before consolidating near the midline. A sustained move above the upper band would suggest renewed bullish momentum, but a break below the lower band could deepen the correction.
Volume & Turnover
Volume peaked at 44K in the early hours (04:00–05:00 ET) during a sideways consolidation phase. Notional turnover spiked alongside this volume, suggesting increased order flow and potential accumulation or distribution. However, volume declined significantly in the final hours, which may reflect fading conviction among sellers.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci levels to the recent 15-minute swing from $0.677 to $0.709, key retracement levels at 38.2% ($0.691) and 61.8% ($0.682) are now acting as overhead resistance. A break below the $0.668 level would suggest a potential 61.8% retracement of the full daily move toward $0.656.
Backtest Hypothesis
A potential short-entry strategy could be built around RSI crossing above 70 as an overbought signal and closing below a 20-period SMA as a bearish confirmation. During the 24-hour period, RSI briefly crossed into overbought territory in the early hours, but the signal was not confirmed by a SMA crossover. A tighter filter using a 14-period RSI with a 70 threshold and a 20-period SMA would have yielded two potential short signals but also introduced noise due to erratic price swings.
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