Summary
• Price action showed key resistance at 0.2008 and support at 0.197, with a failed breakout attempt.
• RSI hit overbought levels early, followed by a bearish divergence with price.
• Bollinger Bands widened mid-day, suggesting increased volatility ahead of the close.
• Volume surged around 01:00–02:00 ET, but price failed to confirm with a strong move.
• A bullish engulfing pattern appeared at 19:45 ET, but was later negated by bearish follow-through.
Magic Eden/Tether (MEUSDT) opened at 0.1986 on 2025-12-23 12:00 ET, reached a high of 0.2035 and a low of 0.197, and closed at 0.1986 on 2025-12-24 12:00 ET. Total volume was 1,889,920.19 with a notional turnover of $372,849.
Structure & Formation
Price tested key resistance at 0.2008 multiple times but failed to hold above it, suggesting bearish sentiment in the upper band. The low at 0.197 acted as a strong support level, with a bounce occurring twice during the session. A notable bullish engulfing pattern appeared at 19:45 ET but was erased by a bearish candle at 20:00 ET, signaling indecision in the market.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, the 20SMA and 50SMA remained bullish until 01:00 ET when price dipped below both, triggering a bearish crossover. On the daily chart, the 50DMA and 200DMA suggest a neutral to slightly bullish bias, but recent intraday weakness could push the pair into consolidation.
MACD & RSI
The MACD line turned negative by 01:15 ET, confirming a bearish momentum shift. RSI peaked at 68 in the early hours, indicating overbought conditions, followed by a divergence where price dropped while RSI remained flat.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility increased sharply mid-session as the bands expanded from a narrow range to a wide one, with price swinging near both the upper and lower bands. A contraction may be expected ahead of the next major move.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked during the 01:00–02:00 ET period, coinciding with a sharp price decline from 0.2031 to 0.2005. Despite high volume, price action failed to confirm a strong bearish trend, suggesting mixed participation.
Fibonacci Retracements
A retracement from the 0.197 low to the 0.2035 high showed key levels at 0.2008 (38.2%) and 0.2017 (50%). Price stalled near both levels, suggesting they are likely to remain critical in the near term.
Looking ahead, a retest of the 0.197 level could trigger a short-term bounce, but a break below 0.1969 may invite further downside. Investors should remain cautious for potential holiday-related low liquidity, which may increase slippage and volatility.
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