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Summary
• Price remained in a tight range with a slight bearish bias on the 5-minute chart.
• Volatility expanded in the latter half of the day, with a key 0.105 support level tested multiple times.
• Momentum softened with RSI hovering near the midpoint, indicating lack of clear directional bias.
• A large-volume break below 0.105 could trigger deeper bearish follow-through.
Lumia/Tether (LUMIAUSDT) opened at 0.107 on 2025-12-16 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of 0.108, dipped to a low of 0.102, and closed at 0.101 on 2025-12-17 at 12:00 ET. Total volume was 3.09 million units, with a notional turnover of $308,642.
Structure & Formations
Price action remained constrained within a 0.102–0.108 range for the majority of the day, with a breakdown below 0.105 in the final hours. A long lower wick near 0.102 suggested initial support, while the 0.105 level became a recurring pivot point. A bearish engulfing pattern formed after 08:45 ET, and a series of doji near 0.105 signaled indecision.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period MA (0.106) and 50-period MA (0.106) remained closely aligned, offering no clear bias.

MACD & RSI
The 12/26/9 MACD line crossed into negative territory after 09:00 ET and remained bearish, with a weak histogram divergence indicating fading momentum. RSI hovered around 45–55 all day, failing to break into overbought or oversold zones, reflecting a lack of conviction in either direction.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility increased as the day progressed, with the Bollinger Band width expanding from 0.001 to 0.005. Price remained within the bands but approached the lower band frequently, particularly after 16:00 ET, suggesting potential for a continuation of bearish pressure.
Volume & Turnover
Trading activity surged after 08:30 ET, with the largest 5-minute volume of 165,521.51 units recorded at that time. Turnover spiked correspondingly, confirming price action. However, a divergence occurred after 16:30 ET, with falling prices and relatively stable volume, hinting at potential exhaustion.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci to the 0.108–0.102 swing, the 0.618 retracement level (0.1043) held briefly before price broke down again. The 0.382 (0.1056) and 0.50 (0.105) levels served as temporary barriers. On the daily chart, a 0.618 retracement of a larger swing could now target 0.100 if the breakdown continues.
Price may remain range-bound near 0.105–0.106 in the near term, but a sustained break below 0.105 could accelerate bearish sentiment. Investors should closely watch volume behavior on the next move to confirm directional strength.
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