Market Overview for Lista DAO/Tether (LISTAUSDT) as of 2025-10-04

• Price dropped from 0.3304 to 0.3088 in 24 hours, with 30–45-minute bearish momentum increasing.
• RSI and MACD signaled bearish momentum and oversold territory in late ET, with price near Bollinger Band lower boundary.
• Volume and turnover surged during late-night selloff but failed to confirm any short-term bottom.
• Key Fibonacci support at ~0.3130 and ~0.3060 was tested and partially rejected.
• Consolidation near 0.31–0.32 may precede next directional move, with bullish reversal signals absent so far.

The Lista DAO/Tether (LISTAUSDT) pair opened at 0.3227 on 2025-10-03 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.3198 on 2025-10-04 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of 0.3304 and a low of 0.3057 during the 24-hour period. Total volume reached 15,564,444.6, with notional turnover amounting to approximately $5,007,293.

Price action showed a bearish bias throughout the period, especially from 18:00 to 21:00 ET, where a significant drop from 0.321 to 0.312 was observed. During this phase, candlestick patterns included several bearish hammers and a long lower shadow doji at 0.3136, signaling indecision and potential support. A key support level formed around 0.3130–0.3150, where price bounced twice in the 03:00–04:30 ET range. Resistance levels at 0.320–0.322 were tested multiple times, with the most recent attempt at 0.3222 in the 07:15–07:30 ET timeframe failing to hold.

The 20-period moving average on the 15-minute chart fell below the 50-period line in the early morning, reinforcing the bearish bias. The daily chart saw both 50 and 200-period moving averages trending downward, suggesting medium-term bearishness. RSI reached oversold levels (~25–30) in the early hours of 2025-10-04, with a slight bounce from 03:00–05:00 ET, but failed to close above the key 30 threshold. MACD crossed below the signal line in the early morning and remained bearish throughout. Bollinger Bands showed a period of contraction around 0.3180–0.3190 before expanding downward, indicating heightened volatility during the late-night selloff.

Volume spiked during the 18:00–21:00 ET and 04:30–06:00 ET periods, aligning with price declines but not confirming any strong support. The most notable divergence occurred between 05:00 and 07:00 ET, where price dropped but volume remained muted. Fibonacci retracement levels for the 0.3304–0.3057 swing showed price finding partial support at 61.8% (~0.3130) and 38.2% (~0.3204), with the 0.3060 level serving as the next critical test for bears.

Backtest Hypothesis
A potential strategy could be to take short positions upon a break below the 0.3130 support level, confirmed by a closing candlestick below this level and bearish RSI divergence. A stop-loss could be placed at 0.3160, just above the 38.2% Fib retracement. A take-profit target could align with the next Fibonacci level at 0.3080. This approach would leverage the observed bearish momentum, RSI oversold levels, and volume confirmation for a short-term bearish trade. Given the current setup, a trailing stop or tight take-profit may be necessary due to high volatility and mixed candlestick signals.