Market Overview: S.S. Lazio Fan Token/Tether (LAZIOUSDT) 24-Hour Analysis

• Price declined 5.3% from 0.881 to 0.845 over 24 hours.
• Volatility spiked overnight, with a 4.3% drop in early morning ET.
• Bollinger Bands show recent compression, suggesting a potential breakout.
• Volume surged in late-night trading, with 15-min turnover peaking at $1,600.
• RSI fell into oversold territory (<30), signaling potential short-term reversal.

S.S. Lazio Fan Token/Tether (LAZIOUSDT) opened at 0.881 on 2025-09-24 12:00 ET, hit a high of 0.886, dropped to a low of 0.842, and closed at 0.845 by 2025-09-25 12:00 ET. Total 24-hour volume reached ~54,816.6 units, with notional turnover of ~$46,014.30. Price action reflects a bearish bias with a strong overnight breakdown.

Structure & Formations

Price has been consolidating between 0.874 and 0.886 on the 15-minute chart, forming a descending triangle. The breakdown below 0.874 late on 2025-09-24 confirmed bearish momentum, with a 4.3% drop to 0.842 by early 2025-09-25. Notable bearish patterns include a bearish engulfing at 0.882–0.874 and a long lower shadow doji at 0.861–0.859, suggesting rejection of higher levels. Immediate support is now at 0.842–0.845, with 0.835 the next level of interest.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20SMA and 50SMA crossed bearishly in the early morning, reinforcing the short-term downtrend. On the daily chart, the 50DMA is at 0.868, and the 200DMA at 0.861, indicating the price is now below key long-term averages. This signals a potential continuation of the bearish trend if support at 0.845 holds.

MACD & RSI

The 15-minute MACD turned negative with a bearish crossover late on 2025-09-24, confirming the shift in momentum. RSI has fallen to 28.5, entering oversold territory, which may prompt a short-term bounce but does not negate the broader bearish context. A sustained move above 0.852 would be needed to trigger a meaningful reversal in RSI levels.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands have seen a period of contraction overnight, with price trading within a narrowing range before a sharp breakout to the downside. This pattern often precedes a directional move. Price now sits near the lower band at 0.842, indicating extreme volatility and a potential reversal point. A close above the upper band at 0.865 would indicate a shift in sentiment.

Volume & Turnover

Volume increased sharply between 03:00 and 06:00 ET, with a peak of ~8,763 units on 2025-09-25 07:0000, coinciding with the breakdown of key support levels. Notional turnover spiked to ~$7,613 during this period, indicating strong bearish conviction. Price and turnover aligned in the breakdown phase, confirming the move. Divergence is not currently evident, but a failure in volume during a potential rebound could signal waning bearish momentum.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci levels to the recent swing high of 0.886 and low of 0.842, key retracement levels are at 0.864 (38.2%), 0.854 (50%), and 0.846 (61.8%). The price appears to find initial support at 0.846, suggesting a potential bounce. On the daily chart, the 61.8% level at 0.853 could serve as a key psychological level for buyers.

Backtest Hypothesis

The described backtesting strategy focuses on identifying confluence points between Fibonacci retracements and Bollinger Band levels, particularly on 15-minute timeframes. Entries are triggered on a breakout of key support/resistance levels with confirmation by volume and RSI divergence. For this pair, a short position could have been initiated near 0.874 on 2025-09-24 with a stop above 0.879 and target at 0.842–0.846. The trade would have been exited near the 0.845 level with a 4.1% gain. This suggests the strategy could be effective in high-volatility environments with clear trend formation.