Summary
• Price surged past 1.050 on high-volume bullish momentum before consolidating.
• RSI suggests overbought conditions, but MACD remains positive.
• Bollinger Bands show moderate volatility with price within the upper band.
• Volume increased sharply in the early trading session, aligning with the price rise.
• A potential bearish reversal may form if price closes below the 1.045 level.
S.S.
Fan Token/Tether (LAZIOUSDT) opened at 1.016 on December 12 at 12:00 ET and closed at 1.052 by the same time on December 13. The 24-hour high reached 1.078, while the low was 1.020. Total volume stood at 475,899.31, and notional turnover amounted to 491,354.66.
Structure & Formations
The price action displayed a strong bullish impulse, breaking above the 1.050 resistance level, followed by a potential consolidation pattern.
A bearish engulfing candle may form near the upper Bollinger Band, signaling caution for further bullish momentum. Key support levels are seen at 1.045 and 1.040, with a possible test expected in the near term.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages are both bullish, with the 50-line slightly lagging. On the daily chart, the 200-period MA supports a potential continuation of the upward trend, with the 50-period MA aligning with the price trajectory.
MACD & RSI
The MACD histogram remains above zero, showing positive momentum, though it has begun to contract, suggesting a potential slowdown. RSI reached overbought territory, hovering near 70, which could hint at a temporary pullback unless volume continues to support the move.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility has increased as the bands have widened following the 1.078 high. Price currently rests near the upper band, indicating a high-risk trade if not supported by a strong volume bar. A contraction in band width could signal a potential consolidation phase ahead.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked significantly during the early hours, especially during the 20:30–20:45 ET session, confirming the bullish breakout. Notional turnover also rose in tandem, showing no divergence. However, recent volume has tapered off, suggesting that momentum may be running out of steam.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci to the most recent 5-minute swing, price has pulled back to the 38.2% retracement level at 1.048 before showing signs of retesting the 61.8% level. On the daily chart, the 61.8% retracement at 1.045 appears to be a key watch level for near-term direction.
The price may test critical support levels in the coming 24 hours, especially if volume fails to confirm the bullish narrative. Traders should remain cautious about overbought RSI and the potential for a corrective phase.
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