Summary
•
formed a bullish engulfing pattern near 7.00 and broke above key resistance at 7.10 by 12:00 ET.
• Volume surged on the breakout at 16:30 ET, confirming strength despite bearish retracements later.
• RSI remained above 50 for much of the session, signaling sustained upward momentum.
• Price stayed within a tightening Bollinger Band range for 12 hours before breaking out.
• 20-period moving average acted as dynamic support during the 19:00–21:00 ET consolidation phase.
Kusama/Tether (KSMUSDT) opened at 7.00 on 2025-12-21 12:00 ET, reached a high of 7.15, and closed at 7.11 as of 12:00 ET on 2025-12-22. Total 24-hour volume was 189,248.21 KSM, with a notional turnover of $1,337,502.51.
Structure & Moving Averages
The price tested multiple swing lows, notably at 6.88, before a decisive move above 7.10. The 20-period moving average on the 5-minute chart acted as a support level during the consolidation phase around 19:00–21:00 ET. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA is slightly below 7.00, suggesting a potential base of accumulation.
Momentum and Oscillators
MACD showed a strong bullish crossover and remained in positive territory for the last 6 hours, confirming the recent upward thrust.
RSI reached 68 at the close, indicating strong but not overextended momentum. No clear overbought conditions emerged, suggesting the move may have room to extend.
Volatility and Patterns
Bollinger Bands contracted significantly from 10:00–14:00 ET before the breakout, signaling a potential reversal. A bullish engulfing pattern formed around 7.00, followed by a test and rejection at the 7.03–7.05 range. Volume surged on the 7.10–7.15 rally, confirming buying interest.
Fibonacci and Key Levels
The 61.8% retracement level of the 6.88–7.15 move is at 7.01, which was tested twice but held as support. The 38.2% level at 7.07–7.08 served as a minor resistance and was briefly pierced. On the daily chart, the 200SMA is at 6.94 and remains below the current price.
Looking ahead, the price appears poised to test the 7.15–7.20 range. A move above 7.15 would target the 7.23–7.26 zone. However, volatility remains moderate, and a pullback to 7.05–7.08 could test buyers’ commitment. Investors should remain cautious for a possible consolidation phase if volume fails to sustain above 20-period average levels.
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