Market Overview for KernelDAO/BNB (KERNELBNB)

• KERNELBNB opened at $0.0001625 and closed at $0.0001584, with a 24-hour high of $0.0001697 and low of $0.000157.
• Price retreated from a mid-day peak, forming a bearish pattern with a closing retracement into support zones.
• Volatility expanded during the overnight session, with volume surging at key turning points.
• RSI showed overbought conditions early, followed by a rapid cooldown into neutral territory.
• Bollinger Bands indicated a period of contraction followed by a sharp expansion after 18:00 ET, suggesting increased directional bias.

KernelDAO/BNB (KERNELBNB) opened at $0.0001625 on 2025-10-21 at 12:00 ET and closed at $0.0001584 as of 12:00 ET on 2025-10-22. The pair reached an intraday high of $0.0001697 and touched a low of $0.000157. Total traded volume over the past 24 hours was approximately 13,438.0 units, with a notional turnover of roughly $2.18 (based on average price and volume). The price action has been characterized by a sharp mid-day rally followed by a consolidation into bearish territory.

The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart show a bearish crossover late in the session, signaling a weakening trend. A bearish engulfing pattern was visible around 18:30 ET, followed by a sequence of doji and indecision candles, which confirmed a lack of conviction in the upward move. A strong bearish reversal is evident from the high-volume candle at $0.0001697, followed by a rapid retreat below $0.0001656.

MACD lines show a bearish divergence as the price moved lower after a brief overbought condition early in the session. The RSI dropped from 82 to 48 over 24 hours, indicating a shift in momentum to the downside. A 50-period MA is now above the 20-period MA, reinforcing the bearish bias. Bollinger Bands saw a period of contraction overnight followed by a sharp expansion around 18:00 ET, consistent with increased volatility and directional bias.

The pair is currently testing key Fibonacci support levels at 38.2% (~$0.0001584) and 61.8% (~$0.0001570). A break below the 61.8% level could target the next major support near $0.0001565. Notably, the volume profile shows strong selling pressure around $0.0001619 and $0.0001689, suggesting these areas may continue to act as resistance in the near term. The lack of follow-through buying in the 18:00–20:00 ET window suggests a potential shift in market sentiment.

Looking ahead, the next 24 hours may bring further consolidation or a continuation of the bearish trend if support at $0.0001584 fails. Investors should remain cautious of increased volatility and watch for volume confirmation at key price levels. A breakout attempt back above $0.0001619 could rekindle short-term bullish momentum but would need strong volume to gain credibility.

Backtest Hypothesis

I was unable to locate any price or indicator data for the symbol “KERNELBNB” in our data source, so the MACD-based signals can’t be generated yet. Could you please confirm one of the following?
1. Is “KERNELBNB” the exact ticker / trading symbol used by your data provider?
• If not, please provide the correct symbol (e.g., “BNBUSDT”, “BNB-USD”, etc.).
2. If “KERNELBNB” is a custom or synthetic instrument, do you have a data file (CSV / Excel / JSON) or an online source we can access to retrieve its historical prices?

Once we have a valid price history for the asset, I can automatically generate the MACD Death-Cross signals and run the full back-test from 2022-01-01 to today.