Market Overview for Kamino Finance/Tether (KMNOUSDT)

Friday, Dec 19, 2025 4:36 am ET2min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- KMNOUSDT fell below $0.0535 support, closing at $0.05296 after a bearish breakdown.

- A 1.2M volume spike at 22:15 ET failed to confirm bullish momentum despite sharp price drops.

- RSI entered oversold territory (<30) while Bollinger Bands expanded, signaling potential short-term bounce.

- Key Fibonacci levels at $0.0538/0.0543 failed to hold, with $0.0533-0.0534 now critical support.

- Bearish momentum remains intact as price closed near Bollinger Bands' lower boundary with weak buying pressure.

Summary
• Price declined from $0.0558 to $0.05296, breaking below key support at $0.0535.
• High volatility noted during early morning ET with expanding Bollinger Bands.
• Volume surged to 1,219,146 at 22:15 ET, but failed to confirm bullish momentum.
• RSI hit oversold territory below 30, suggesting potential short-term bounce.

Kamino Finance/Tether (KMNOUSDT) opened at $0.05578 on 2025-12-18 12:00 ET and closed at $0.05296 on 2025-12-19 12:00 ET. The pair reached a high of $0.0558 and a low of $0.05296. Total volume across the 24-hour period was 12,065,475, with a notional turnover of approximately $673,500.

Structure & Formations


The price action on displayed a bearish breakdown from key support at $0.0535 following a strong volume spike at 22:15 ET. A series of lower highs and lower lows formed a descending pattern, with a significant bearish engulfing pattern visible during the 23:30–23:45 ET session. A doji formed at 00:00 ET as price briefly paused its decline, but failed to rally above $0.0536.

Moving Averages


On the 5-minute chart, the 20 and 50-period moving averages both trended downward, confirming the bearish bias. The price closed below both indicators at the end of the 24-hour window. Daily moving averages, though not calculated here, are expected to align with the bearish trend based on the sustained price action.

MACD & RSI


MACD showed a bearish crossover, with the line falling below the signal line during the late ET hours. RSI dropped below 30 in the final hours of the session, signaling potential oversold conditions and suggesting a possible near-term bounce. However, the low volume during this phase indicates weak conviction in the bounce.

Bollinger Bands


Volatility increased as the Bollinger Bands expanded during the late ET session, with price moving sharply below the lower band. The price closed near the lower band, suggesting bearish momentum and a possible continuation of the current downtrend if the key support levels hold.

Volume & Turnover


Volume spiked to 1,219,146 at 22:15 ET, coinciding with a sharp drop in price, but failed to push price above $0.054. Turnover remained in line with volume expectations for most of the session, with no notable divergences. However, as price approached the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, volume and turnover both declined, indicating a lack of buying pressure.

Fibonacci Retracements


Fibonacci levels drawn from the recent 5-minute high of $0.0558 to the low at $0.05296 showed that the 61.8% retracement level sits around $0.0538, which was briefly tested twice but not held. The 38.2% level at $0.0543 was also a key resistance area that failed to provide support, suggesting that price may retest $0.0533–$0.0534 next.

The market appears to be consolidating near oversold levels, and a bounce toward the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $0.0543 could be on the cards. However, with key support at $0.0533–$0.0534 now in play, a break below this may lead to further downside risk, potentially targeting $0.0525–$0.0530. Investors should monitor volume and RSI for signs of reversal or continuation.