Market Overview for Kaia/Tether (KAIAUSDT) – October 24, 2025

• KAIAUSDT traded in a tight range before a late-night breakout above 0.1090.
• A bullish engulfing pattern formed at 0.1082–0.1093, followed by consolidation.
• Volume surged during the late-night rally, confirming strength above key resistance.
• RSI and MACD suggest momentum is intact, though overbought conditions hint at potential pullbacks.
• Bollinger Bands expanded during the breakout, reflecting increased volatility.

Kaia/Tether (KAIAUSDT) opened at 0.1079 on October 23 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.1084 on October 24 at the same time, trading between 0.1073 and 0.1103. Total volume for the 24-hour window was 13,296,078.8 with a notional turnover of $1,463,060.80, indicating heightened interest in the pair.

The 15-minute chart reveals a key bullish engulfing pattern formed between 0.1082 and 0.1093 on October 24, marking a potential breakout from a tight trading range. This was followed by a consolidation phase as the price moved sideways above 0.1087. Support appears to be holding around the 0.1082–0.1084 level, while resistance is now seen at 0.1094 and 0.1097. The 20-period moving average crossed above the 50-period line late on October 24, reinforcing the bullish signal.

The 20-period MA on the 15-minute chart crossed above the 50-period MA, a potential golden cross, suggesting the pair is entering a stronger uptrend. The 50-period MA (0.1086) is acting as a dynamic support level. A 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the 0.1082–0.1093 move aligns with 0.1089, which has acted as a temporary consolidation area. The 38.2% level is at 0.1086 and appears to have been tested multiple times, indicating its importance.

RSI has entered overbought territory (above 65) and is now hovering near 68, while MACD remains positive with a rising histogram, indicating strong and increasing bullish momentum. The pair has moved outside the upper Bollinger Band, signaling heightened volatility. Price is currently at the upper band at 0.1096–0.1097, a potential area for reversal or continuation depending on volume and order flow.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the breakout and consolidation pattern, a potential strategy could involve entering a long position at the 0.1084–0.1086 consolidation range with a stop just below 0.1077. A take-profit could be set at 0.1097 (61.8% Fibonacci) and 0.1103 (Bollinger upper band). The recent volume surge during the breakout suggests strong conviction in the move higher, and RSI divergence could be used as a signal for a pullback to re-enter long positions. This approach would aim to capture the momentum while managing risk with defined stops and targets.