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Summary
• Price found key support at 0.0775, rebounding amid declining volume and bearish momentum.
• A strong breakout to 0.0802 in early hours reversed as sellers regained control post-09:00 ET.
• Volatility surged during the bullish phase, followed by a contraction as buyers became hesitant.
• RSI signaled overbought conditions during the rally but failed to push above 60, suggesting weak conviction.
• Volume surged at the top of the move, but waned during the pullback, highlighting bearish divergence.
Kaia/Tether (KAIAUSDT) opened at 0.0779 on December 6 at 12:00 ET and reached a high of 0.0809 before settling at 0.0776 at 12:00 ET on December 7. Total volume was 10.14 million, with a turnover of approximately $785,000.
Structure & Formations
Price found a critical support zone around 0.0775–0.0776 after a failed bullish attempt near 0.0802. A long lower shadow at 0.0775–0.0776 hinted at strong bearish control. A bearish engulfing pattern formed during the afternoon ET, confirming a shift in sentiment.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, the 20-period MA crossed below the 50-period MA, suggesting short-term bearish bias. Daily moving averages showed no clear divergence, with the 50-period MA near 0.0785 and the 200-period MA near 0.0780.
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MACD & RSI
The MACD histogram showed a bearish crossover in late ET, aligning with the downward price action. RSI peaked near 60 during the rally but failed to confirm strength above 60, indicating weak bullish conviction.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded during the rally toward 0.0802 and then rapidly contracted as the price pulled back. Price closed near the lower band at 0.0776, suggesting potential for a short-term bounce, but bearish control remains intact.
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Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked at 0.0802, confirming the high, but sharply declined during the sell-off, forming a bearish volume divergence. The largest volume bar was during the 06:15–06:30 ET bullish phase, reflecting aggressive buying that failed to hold.
Fibonacci Retracements
Key retracement levels aligned with the 0.0775–0.0776 support and 0.0785 resistance. A pullback to 0.0780–0.0782 could test buyers' willingness for a counter-trend rally.
Kaia/Tether may test 0.0775–0.0776 as a key floor in the coming 24 hours, with potential for a short-term bounce if buyers step in. However, a break below this support could accelerate the downward trend. Investors should watch for volume confirmation or divergence in momentum indicators.
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