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Summary
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Kaia/Tether (KAIAUSDT) opened at 0.0660 on 2026-01-09 12:00 ET, peaked at 0.0661, and declined to a 24-hour low of 0.0648, closing at 0.0658 by 12:00 ET. Total volume exceeded 6.3 million, with notional turnover reaching $422,700, reflecting heightened participation amid price consolidation.
Price action displayed a bearish bias after the 00:15 ET candle saw a sharp drop to 0.0649, forming a long lower wick that suggests support near 0.065 may hold.

Volume spiked to 1.4 million at 00:15 ET, coinciding with a large drop in price. This was followed by a sharp contraction, indicating waning conviction. Turnover mirrored the pattern, confirming bearish momentum during the initial selloff. However, volume has remained moderate in the closing hours, suggesting traders may be waiting for clearer direction.
On the 5-minute chart, the 20SMA and 50SMA both remained above current price levels, reflecting short-term bearish divergence. The 200SMA on the daily timeframe is still above 0.0665, indicating that the pair is in a longer-term corrective phase.
The RSI hovered between 35 and 40 for much of the session, signaling weak momentum and a potential oversold condition near 0.0650. The MACD histogram contracted throughout the session, with the line crossing below the signal line in early morning, suggesting a bearish divergence in momentum.
Price remained within the Bollinger Bands for most of the session, with the 20-period standard deviation narrowing slightly, indicating a potential consolidation phase. Price has tested the lower band multiple times, but a sustained break below 0.0650 would be needed to confirm bearish bias.
Recent 5-minute swings placed the 38.2% retracement at 0.0653 and the 61.8% retracement at 0.0658. Price has bounced off the 61.8% level multiple times, suggesting resistance may hold near this level.
Looking ahead, traders may watch for a sustained break below 0.0650 or a retest of 0.0658–0.0661 for potential trend continuation. However, high volatility and mixed momentum indicators suggest increased caution for the next 24 hours.
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