Market Overview for Kaia/Tether (KAIAUSDT) – 24-Hour Summary

• Price formed a bullish reversal pattern near 0.1604, followed by a 0.1634 high, indicating short-term buying interest.
• MACD showed bullish divergence as price pulled back while momentum remained positive.
• RSI oscillated between 30–70, suggesting no clear overbought or oversold conditions in the last 24 hours.
• Volatility expanded after 18:00 ET as price moved 0.0024 within a 3-hour window.
• Volume spiked at 18:15 and 22:15 ET, coinciding with key price swings near 0.1634 and 0.1624.

Kaia/Tether (KAIAUSDT) opened at 0.1610 on 2025-09-13 at 12:00 ET, reached a high of 0.1634, and a low of 0.1589, closing at 0.1601 by 12:00 ET on 2025-09-14. The pair recorded a 24-hour volume of 10,048,326.9 KAIA and a notional turnover of $1,607,308.

Structure & Formations

Price carved out a key intraday low at 0.1589, followed by a sharp 3-hour rebound to 0.1634. This suggests 0.1589 may act as a near-term support. A bullish engulfing pattern emerged at 0.1604 (17:15–17:30 ET), hinting at short-term buying pressure. A doji formed at 0.1627 (19:45–20:00 ET), signaling indecision as momentum slowed.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period MA crossed above the 50-period MA in the early morning session, suggesting a short-term bullish bias. However, the 50-period MA has since flattened, and the 100-period MA has not yet confirmed the move.

MACD & RSI

MACD crossed above zero at 04:30 ET and held positive until 08:00 ET, with a bullish divergence forming during the 06:30–08:00 ET pullback. RSI remained in neutral territory, oscillating between 30–70, with no overbought conditions above 70. A strong bearish momentum appeared after 04:00 ET as price declined to 0.1593.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility expanded between 18:00–22:00 ET as the upper band reached 0.1631 and the lower band dropped to 0.1614. Price briefly touched the lower band at 0.1604 and rebounded, suggesting a potential short-term floor. The bands have since contracted, indicating possible consolidation ahead.

Volume & Turnover

Volume surged at 18:15 ET (610,936.8 KAIA) and 22:15 ET (247,192.3 KAIA), aligning with price highs near 0.1634 and 0.1628. Notional turnover rose to $100,000 during the 18:15–22:15 ET window. However, volume declined after 22:15 ET, suggesting fading momentum.

Fibonacci Retracements

A key swing from 0.1589 (09/14 04:15) to 0.1634 (09/13 18:30) produced Fibonacci levels at 0.1617 (38.2%), 0.1626 (50%), and 0.1632 (61.8%). Price found resistance at the 61.8% level, hinting that 0.1626 may be a potential pivot point in the next 24–48 hours.

Backtest Hypothesis

The described backtesting strategy likely focuses on swing setups near key Fibonacci and moving average levels. A long setup could target entries on a retest of 0.1604–0.1608 with a stop below 0.1594, aiming for 0.1624–0.1634. A short setup may aim for a breakdown below 0.1601, targeting 0.1594–0.1589 with a stop above 0.1607. Both setups would benefit from confirmation via bullish/bearish divergences in MACD and volume action.