Summary
• Price declined from 0.8 to 0.764 with strong bearish momentum.
• Key support tested at 0.736 following a sharp selloff.
• Turnover surged near key levels, suggesting increased participation.
Jito/Tether (JTOUSDT) opened at 0.800 on 2025-11-05 12:00 ET, reached a high of 0.808, and closed at 0.764 by 2025-11-06 12:00 ET, with a low of 0.736 during the period. The total volume for the 24-hour window was 911,069.5 with a notional turnover of $692,926. The price action reflects heightened bearish sentiment and a breakdown of key resistance levels.
Structure & Formations
The chart reveals a clear downtrend, with a strong bearish engulfing pattern forming around the 0.800 level. A doji appears near 0.795, signaling indecision, but the following sessions continued downward, confirming bearish pressure. The most critical support was breached at 0.736, suggesting a possible continuation of the trend unless a strong rebound emerges.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20- and 50-period moving averages have both declined sharply and are trending below recent price levels. On the daily chart, the 50-, 100-, and 200-day averages are all bearish, confirming the long-term downward trajectory. The price remains well below these averages, indicating that the trend is intact.
MACD & RSI
The MACD line turned negative and has remained in bearish territory, with the signal line pulling away, reinforcing the momentum to the downside. RSI has declined to oversold levels (near 25), suggesting that the pair may have retraced or paused soon. However, this does not necessarily signal a reversal, as oversold conditions can persist in strong trends.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands have widened significantly, reflecting increased volatility. Price has spent much of the session near or below the lower band, particularly during the late ET hours and early morning, reinforcing the bearish narrative. A contraction in the bands could precede a breakout or reversal if the current downtrend stalls.
Volume & Turnover
Volume surged during the 0.78–0.76 cluster and remained high near the 0.736 level, suggesting strong conviction in the bearish move. Turnover also increased in these zones, confirming the price action. There was no divergence between price and volume, indicating strong selling pressure and no immediate signs of capitulation.
Fibonacci Retracements
Recent Fibonacci retracement levels on the 15-minute chart suggest the 61.8% level is now the immediate support. On the daily chart, the 61.8% retracement is near 0.735, aligning with the recent breakdown. This area could see renewed interest in the event of a bounce, but bearish continuation is more probable unless a significant bullish reversal occurs.
Backtest Hypothesis
To confirm or challenge the recent bearish momentum, a potential backtest using the RSI-14 indicator could be useful. A common strategy involves buying when RSI falls below 30 (oversold territory) and exiting after five trading days. This strategy, however, relies on high-quality RSI data for JTOUSDT, which currently appears to be unavailable due to data formatting or listing issues.
To proceed, clarification is needed on the exact ticker format (e.g., with exchange suffix) or an alternative dataset. Once resolved, the backtest can be run to determine whether oversold levels historically result in short-term rebounds or continued declines. This would add empirical value to the current technical assessment and help refine entry and exit expectations.
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