Summary
• Jito/Tether (JTOUSDT) opened at $0.743 and traded between $0.711 and $0.763 before closing at $0.713.
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indicators suggest a possible oversold condition with RSI dipping below 30.
• A volume spike of 130,504.3 occurred at 15:00 ET, coinciding with a bearish reversal pattern.
Opening Summary
Jito/Tether (JTOUSDT) opened at $0.743 on 2025-11-11 at 12:00 ET and closed at $0.713 on 2025-11-12 at the same time. The 24-hour range was between $0.711 and $0.763. Total volume was 1,492,404.3, and total turnover amounted to $1,056,546.2.
Structure & Formations
Price action revealed a key bearish formation at 15:00 ET, where a large bearish candlestick opened at $0.762 and closed at $0.757, suggesting a potential reversal. Key support levels appear to be forming around $0.715–$0.717, while resistance levels are visible near $0.747 and $0.760. A bearish engulfing pattern was observed earlier in the day, confirming downward momentum.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period MA was bearish, sitting below the 50-period MA. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA crossed below the 200-period MA, indicating a potential bearish bias. These signals suggest a continuation of the downward trend unless a strong reversal occurs.
MACD & RSI
The MACD crossed below the signal line early in the session, confirming bearish momentum. RSI dipped below 30, indicating oversold conditions, but no immediate bullish reversal is evident. Traders should watch for a potential bounce off the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $0.723.
Bollinger Bands
Price action reached the lower band at $0.715–$0.717, suggesting a potential bounce. Volatility has contracted recently, and the bands appear to be tightening, hinting at a potential breakout or breakdown. A sustained move above $0.735 could see volatility expand once more.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked sharply at 15:00 ET and again at 16:30 ET, with turnover reaching $1,056,546.2. These spikes coincided with bearish price action and suggest increased bearish conviction. A divergence was observed between price and volume in the morning session, where price declined but volume remained relatively low, indicating weak bearish momentum.
Fibonacci Retracements
Key Fibonacci levels for the recent 15-minute swing were $0.723 (38.2%) and $0.712 (61.8%). Price action appears to have bounced off the 38.2% level but is now consolidating near the 61.8% level. On the daily chart, the 50% level at $0.729 has been tested multiple times and may act as a short-term support.
Backtest Hypothesis
A potential backtest strategy could focus on the bearish engulfing pattern identified on the 15-minute chart, given its alignment with key Fibonacci and Bollinger levels. The pattern appears to have triggered a short-term reversal that could be leveraged in a strategy. For execution, a short position could be opened at the close of the engulfing candle and held until a reversal signal or a stop-loss at $0.725 is triggered. To refine the backtest, we would need a specific list of tickers or an index proxy (e.g., ETH/USDT or BTC/USDT) and a defined risk-control framework, such as a 2% stop-loss and a 5% take-profit target.
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