Market Overview for IOST/Tether (IOSTUSDT) – October 14, 2025

• IOSTUSDT closed near the session low, signaling bearish momentum.
• Price fell below key support at 0.002555, confirming a breakdown in trend.
• Volatility expanded in the early session, but faded toward the close.
• Bollinger Bands widened pre-20:00 ET before tightening, suggesting range contraction.
• On-balance volume suggests selling pressure intensified after 18:00 ET.

The IOST/Tether (IOSTUSDT) pair opened at 0.002544 on October 13 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.002487 the following day. The 24-hour range was 0.002667 (high) to 0.002414 (low), with a total volume of 347,555,032.0 IOST and a notional turnover of approximately $878,812. Price activity was bearish overall, with a breakdown in key support levels and rising bearish momentum.

Structure & Formations

IOSTUSDT tested and broke key support at 0.002555 during the early hours of October 14. A long bearish candle formed at 19:45 ET (0.002635), followed by a series of lower closes. A bearish engulfing pattern appeared after 02:30 ET, confirming the breakdown. Price action remained below the 20-period moving average for most of the session, indicating short-term bearish bias.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period MA acted as resistance after 18:00 ET, with price failing to close above it. The 50-period MA crossed below the 20-period MA, forming a bearish crossover. On daily charts, the 50-period MA remains above the 200-period MA, but IOSTUSDT’s close below both suggests a possible short-term bearish phase.

MACD & RSI

MACD turned negative after 19:00 ET, with the signal line crossing below the histogram, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. RSI dropped into oversold territory after 03:00 ET but failed to hold above 30, indicating bearish exhaustion may not yet be complete. A further drop below 30 could suggest short-term oversold conditions, but price remains in a bearish trend.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands widened significantly around 20:00 ET, reaching a width of 0.000095, indicating heightened volatility. Price remained below the lower band for several hours, particularly after 04:00 ET. A narrowing of the bands began around 09:00 ET, suggesting range contraction and potential consolidation ahead.

Volume & Turnover

Volume spiked above 10 million IOST in the early hours of October 14 (00:45–01:15 ET) as price dropped toward 0.002468. Turnover increased in the 03:00–05:00 ET window as selling pressure intensified. However, volume declined in the final hours of the session despite continued downward price action, potentially signaling weakening bearish conviction.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci to the key 24-hour swing (0.002414–0.002667), the 61.8% retracement level currently sits at 0.002546, which coincides with a minor support zone. The 38.2% level is at 0.002515, which has seen price bounce in the past. A rebound from either level could suggest a temporary reversal, but bears may reassert control if volume confirms the breakdown.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the breakdown in support levels and the bearish momentum, a potential backtest could focus on “closing below the 50-day low” as a trigger for short positions. This aligns with the observed support break and could be tested using historical data from January 2022 to today. The key is to confirm whether such a signal consistently leads to further downside in IOSTUSDT. For this, specifying the preferred exchange and ticker format (e.g., Binance:IOSTUSDT) will help ensure accurate data retrieval and strategy execution.