Summary
• Price formed a bearish engulfing pattern near 0.001725 and failed to reclaim key resistance.
• Momentum shifted downward with RSI dropping below 50 and MACD turning negative.
• Volatility remained compressed within Bollinger Bands, with volume surging during the breakdown.
• Volume increased by 32% in the final 6 hours, confirming bearish pressure.
• 0.001692–0.001698 now acts as a contested support zone with recent pullbacks clustering around it.
Market Overview
IOST/Tether (IOSTUSDT) opened at 0.001724 on 2026-01-14, reached a high of 0.001726, and closed at 0.001697 by 12:00 ET on 2026-01-15, after hitting a low of 0.001660. Total volume for the 24-hour period was approximately 59.1 million
, with a notional turnover of $10,369.
Structure & Formations
Price action formed a bearish engulfing pattern around 0.001725, which marked the last strong attempt to reclaim key resistance. A sequence of lower highs and lower lows suggests a loss of bullish conviction, while the 0.001692–0.001698 cluster emerged as a critical support area based on repeated price testing and consolidation.
Moving Averages
The 20-period and 50-period 5-minute moving averages have converged to form a short-term bearish bias. On the daily chart, the price remains below the 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing a longer-term downtrend in context.
MACD & RSI
Momentum indicators confirm a shift in bias: RSI dipped below 50 into neutral territory, while the MACD turned negative and remained in bearish territory. A bearish divergence appears between price and RSI as the price made new lows while RSI failed to follow suit, signaling potential exhaustion in the short term.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility remained relatively narrow throughout the session, with price action staying within the Bollinger Bands. A breakdown below the lower band occurred after 22:00 ET, with the move confirmed by a 32% increase in volume over the last 6 hours.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked significantly during the late evening and overnight hours, particularly between 22:00 and 06:00 ET, confirming bearish continuation. Notional turnover mirrored this trend, aligning with price action and supporting the strength of the breakdown.
Fibonacci Retracements
The 0.001680–0.001725 swing saw a 38.2% retracement at 0.001698 and a 61.8% retracement at 0.001678. The 0.001678 level appears to be acting as a key psychological threshold, with price hovering just above it in the final hours.
In the next 24 hours,
may test the 0.001660–0.001670 zone, with a potential pullback to 0.001692–0.001702 if buyers emerge. However, a sustained close below 0.001670 could trigger further bearish momentum. Investors should monitor volume for signs of accumulation or continuation.
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