• IOUSDT surged 2.8% in 24 hours, breaking above 0.630 after a midday consolidation phase and a morning reversal.
• Volume spiked 3.5x in the 6-8am ET session, confirming bullish momentum amid a bullish engulfing pattern at 0.630.
• RSI hit overbought territory, but price remains within 15-minute
Bands, suggesting controlled volatility.
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Key support appears at 0.623 (tested twice post-breakout), with 0.616 as a potential next downside target.
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Momentum stalled in the afternoon, with RSI divergence hinting at possible near-term profit-taking or consolidation.
Structure & Formations
The 15-minute chart displayed a bullish reversal with a key breakout candle at 0.630 on 2025-08-20 05:00 ET, followed by a consolidation in a tight range between 0.632 and 0.638. A bearish flag pattern formed in the afternoon as price pulled back toward 0.627–0.623. Key support levels at 0.623 and 0.616 were retested, while 0.645 and 0.640 served as resistance. A doji formed at 0.641, indicating indecision in the early morning.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the price closed above both the 20-period (0.632) and 50-period (0.629) moving averages by the end of the day, signaling a potential continuation of the bullish bias. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA sits at ~0.618 and is currently being tested, suggesting that the recent rally has taken the pair into overbought territory above the 200-period MA (~0.602).
MACD & RSI
The 15-minute MACD crossed into positive territory around 6:00 AM ET and remained elevated through the morning, indicating sustained bullish momentum. However, the RSI hit overbought levels (above 70) during the 5-8am ET window, and a minor bearish divergence appeared in the afternoon as price hit 0.638 but RSI failed to make a new high. This suggests a possible near-term pause or pullback, but not necessarily a reversal.
Bollinger Bands
Volatility expanded in the morning with a high-low range of ~$0.044 and then stabilized into a tighter band during the afternoon. The price spent most of the session inside the 15-minute Bollinger Bands, with only one candle touching the upper band. This suggests a relatively controlled move and not an extreme breakout scenario.
Volume & Turnover
Volume and notional turnover spiked significantly in the 6-8am ET session, with the largest 15-minute candle (amount 56) showing a 3.5x increase in volume and a 4.8x increase in turnover. This confirms the morning bullish breakout. However, afternoon volume has declined, suggesting weakening momentum. Price and volume are aligned for now, but a divergence could signal a shift in market sentiment.
Fibonacci Retracements
Applying Fibonacci to the 15-minute swing from 0.601 to 0.645, the 0.630 level aligns with the 38.2% retracement level, and 0.623 is at the 50% level. These levels acted as key support zones. On the daily chart, the 0.630–0.616 swing aligns with the 61.8% retracement level at 0.623, which was retested but not broken. This suggests a possible near-term consolidation at 0.623–0.626.
The next 24 hours may bring a test of the 0.640–0.645 range if buyers step in above 0.630. A close below 0.623 could trigger a pullback toward 0.616–0.612. Investors should watch for volume confirmation or divergences in RSI and MACD, which may signal a pause in the current bullish trend.
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