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Summary
• Price opened at 4.28e-06 and closed at 4.35e-06 after a 24-hour range of 4.22e-06 to 4.6e-06.
• Volatility expanded midday, with a sharp 12-hour high at 4.6e-06 followed by consolidation.
• Turnover spiked at 03:30 ET with a 6,230.05 volume and settled near session lows by 12:00 ET.
Immutable/Bitcoin (IMXBTC) opened at 4.28e-06 on 2025-11-11 (12:00 ET − 1) and closed at 4.35e-06 as of 12:00 ET today, reaching a high of 4.6e-06 and a low of 4.22e-06 over the 24-hour window. Total volume was 69,635.25, and turnover was 289.69, with notable spikes in midday and early evening trading.
The 15-minute candlestick pattern shows a strong bullish reversal from the 4.45e-06 support level, marked by a bullish engulfing pattern at 203000 and confirmed by volume on the 4.47e-06 candle. Price then tested 4.6e-06, forming a bearish spinning top before consolidating. Key support levels are now at 4.45e-06 and 4.35e-06, while resistance lies at 4.6e-06 and the 4.65e-06 psychological level.
The 20-period and 50-period EMA on the 15-minute chart crossed at 4.44e-06, suggesting short-term momentum favoring the bulls. On the daily timeframe, the 50-period EMA at 4.38e-06 supports a continuation of the current rally. The 200-period EMA, however, is bearish at 4.31e-06, creating a potential convergence zone if price pulls back.
MACD on the 15-minute chart showed a bullish crossover with positive momentum during the 03:30–04:45 ET window, aligning with the 4.6e-06 high. RSI peaked at 68 before retracing, indicating a strong move without overbought conditions. Bollinger Bands showed a moderate expansion during the morning session, with price testing the upper band at 4.6e-06 before retreating.
Volume and turnover were divergent in the early hours, with low turnover despite price action. The midday spike at 03:30 ET provided confirmation of the 4.6e-06 high, followed by a sell-off. Fibonacci levels suggest a 61.8% retracement of the 4.22e-06–4.6e-06 move is at 4.43e-06, currently acting as a psychological floor.
Over the next 24 hours, IMXBTC may test the 4.5e-06–4.55e-06 range, depending on liquidity. A breakdown below 4.45e-06 could accelerate volatility to the 4.41e-06–4.35e-06 support cluster. Investors should be cautious of thin order books in the 4.45e-06–4.5e-06 corridor.
Backtest Hypothesis
The RSI-Oversold (RSI 14 < 30) – 3-Day Hold strategy on IMXBTC from 2022-01-01 through 2025-11-11 shows a total return of 8.76%, with an annualised return of 6.58%. Despite a high max drawdown of -54.05%, the Sharpe ratio of 0.20 suggests limited risk-adjusted returns. The 3-day hold rule, while simple, appears to underperform in highly volatile and low-volume environments like IMXBTC. This aligns with the 24-hour observation, where price action often reversed before the RSI 14 hit oversold levels, making this strategy less effective here.
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