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Summary
• ILVUSDT declines from $7.19 to $6.94 over 24 hours amid rising volume and bearish momentum.
• Price breaks below key 5-minute support at $7.05, signaling potential continuation lower.
• MACD shows bearish divergence; RSI in oversold territory but lacks immediate reversal signs.
• Volatility expands as price drops below Bollinger Band midline, reflecting heightened selling pressure.
• Fibonacci retracement at 61.8% near $7.00 aligns with recent consolidation, suggesting short-term resistance.
Illuvium/Tether (ILVUSDT) opened at $7.18, peaked at $7.19, and closed at $6.94 by 12:00 ET, with a low of $6.80. Total 24-hour volume reached 39,273.35 units, and notional turnover hit $266,376. The price has shown bearish continuation, breaking below key levels.
Structure & Formations
The price structure reveals a bearish breakdown from a short-term consolidation range, with a key support at $7.05 breached. A long lower shadow at $6.90 suggests a potential bounce area, but a 5-minute engulfing bearish candle confirms the downward shift.
Moving Averages and MACD
The 5-minute 20SMA and 50SMA are in a bearish crossover, reinforcing the downward trend. The MACD line remains below zero, with a bearish divergence forming as price makes lower highs with divergent MACD.
RSI and Momentum
Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dipped into oversold territory (below 30) at the lower end of the move, but no clear reversal candlestick has emerged. This suggests selling pressure remains strong, and a rebound may lack conviction.
Bollinger Bands and Volatility
The price has moved below the 5-minute Bollinger Band midline, reflecting increased volatility and bearish bias. The widening band confirms rising uncertainty and potential for further downside.
Volume and Turnover
Volume has surged on the breakdown, particularly during the sharp drop from $7.00 to $6.90. High notional turnover during this period confirms conviction in the bearish move, with no significant divergence observed between price and volume.
Fibonacci Retracements
A 5-minute Fibonacci retracement from the $6.80 low to the $7.19 high shows key levels at 38.2% ($6.97) and 61.8% ($7.00). The price has consolidated around the 61.8% level, indicating potential near-term resistance.
The market appears to be in a bearish momentum phase with clear support levels in play. A retest of $7.00 could trigger renewed selling. Investors should monitor volume and candlestick confirmation near this level while managing downside risk.
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