Summary
•
opened at 0.01679 and closed at 0.01622, forming a bearish trend amid volatile swings.
• Total 24-hour volume reached 282,432.3, while turnover hit USD 13,427,785.92, indicating strong engagement.
• RSI approached oversold levels, hinting at potential short-term buying interest.
IDEX/Tether (IDEXUSDT) opened at 0.01679 on 2025-11-13 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.01622 on 2025-11-14 at 12:00 ET, hitting a high of 0.01685 and a low of 0.01582. The total volume traded over 24 hours was 2,824,323 units, with a notional turnover of approximately USD 13,427,785.92. Price action revealed a bearish bias with multiple consolidation attempts and a sharp late-night decline.
Structure & Formations
Price has tested a key support level at
0.01600 multiple times and formed several bearish patterns, including a
dark cloud cover and
bearish engulfing at 0.01610–0.01620. A
doji at 0.01620–0.01622 suggested indecision, likely marking the top of the recent consolidation phase.
Moving Averages
On the 15-minute chart, the
20-period MA (0.01630) and
50-period MA (0.01632) both crossed below the price in the final hours, reinforcing a bearish bias. On the daily chart, price remains below the
200-period MA (0.01640), suggesting long-term bearish
.
MACD & RSI
The
MACD turned negative and crossed below the signal line around 0.01625, confirming bearish momentum.
RSI dropped to
34, nearing oversold territory, which could attract short-covering or countertrend buying.
Bollinger Bands
Price has bounced off the
lower band (0.01580–0.01600) multiple times, signaling increasing volatility. The bands have expanded significantly over the past 8 hours, highlighting heightened risk and uncertainty in the market.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked sharply at
0.01590–0.01600, particularly around the 4:45 AM–5:00 AM ET timeframe, confirming the bearish breakdown. Turnover aligned with volume, showing no divergence, and reinforcing the validity of the price action.
Fibonacci Retracements
The
61.8% level at 0.01614 held temporarily but failed to provide meaningful support. On the daily chart, the
38.2% retracement at 0.01620 is now acting as resistance, suggesting a potential bounce or continuation depending on market sentiment.
Backtest Hypothesis
The backtesting strategy was based on
RSI signals with an
oversold threshold at 30 and a
3-day holding period, but no stop-loss or take-profit rules. While the average winning trade returned
+10.57%, large drawdowns of up to
71% skewed overall performance, leading to a cumulative return of
-1.57%. This highlights the importance of
risk controls and
position sizing, especially in a volatile market like IDEX/Tether.
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