Summary
• ICON/Tether opened at $0.0558 and closed at $0.0544 on 2025-12-17.
• A bearish breakdown below key support of $0.0555 confirmed by a long bearish candle and a falling wedge pattern.
• Volume spiked during the 01:00–02:00 ET selloff, with turnover exceeding $10M.
• RSI hit oversold territory below 30, signaling potential short-term bounce, though trend remains bearish.
• Bollinger Bands showed a moderate expansion, suggesting increased volatility as the pair drifted lower.
ICON/Tether (ICXUSDT) opened at $0.0558 on 2025-12-16, reached a high of $0.0561, a low of $0.0528, and closed at $0.0544 on 2025-12-17. Total volume amounted to ~4.09 million ICX, and notional turnover exceeded $225,000 during the 24-hour window.
Structure & Formations
The price carved out a falling wedge pattern over the final 5 hours, breaking below key support at $0.0555. A long bearish candle with a high volume confirmed the breakdown, reinforcing a bearish bias. Notable support levels now include $0.0544 and $0.0536, while resistance is retesting at $0.0555 and $0.0559. A potential bullish reversal may form near $0.0536 if buyers step in.
Moving Averages
On the 5-minute chart, the price closed below both 20-EMA and 50-EMA, reinforcing a bearish bias. Daily timeframes show the 50-EMA at $0.0557 and 200-EMA at $0.0562, indicating a stronger likelihood of further downside if momentum continues.
MACD & RSI
The RSI dropped below 30 during the final hours, signaling short-term oversold conditions and hinting at possible consolidation. MACD remained bearish with a narrowing histogram, though a slight divergence emerged in the last 3 hours as price continued to fall while momentum slowed.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands expanded moderately as the price drifted lower, with the close settling at ~1.2 standard deviations below the 20-period mean. This suggests increased volatility and potential for either a continuation or a bounce in the near term.
Volume & Turnover
Volume spiked sharply between 01:00 and 02:00 ET, coinciding with a large downward move. Turnover also surged, confirming the bearish breakout. However, in the last 4 hours, volume has decreased despite ongoing bearish pressure, suggesting exhaustion in the short term.
Fibonacci Retracements
On the recent 5-minute swing from $0.0561 to $0.0528, the price found support near the 61.8% level at $0.0543. If the trend continues lower, the next Fibonacci target would be $0.0531. On the daily chart, retracement levels suggest potential bounce from $0.0536.
The market appears to be entering a consolidation phase after the sharp selloff, with RSI suggesting possible short-term support near $0.0536. However, with MACD and volume signaling continued bearish momentum, any rally could be short-lived. Investors should remain cautious ahead of potential follow-through selling or a retest of $0.0531, with volatility likely to persist.
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