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• Price declined from $0.03278 to $0.03039 on the 24-hour chart.
• Volatility expanded after a consolidation period near $0.0325–$0.0328.
• Downtrend confirmed as key resistance levels were breached below $0.0320.
• Volume spiked during the early hours of August 21, aligning with the breakdown.
• RSI oversold levels suggest possible near-term bounce, but trend remains bearish.
The 24-hour candle for Huma Finance (HUMAUSDT) opened at $0.03272, hit a high of $0.03291, dropped to a low of $0.03033, and closed at $0.03039 as of 12:00 ET. Total volume was approximately 64.1 million units, with a notional turnover of roughly $1.96 million across the reporting period.
Price action on HUMAUSDT has shown a clear breakdown from a short-term consolidation range that formed between $0.0325 and $0.0329. After a key bearish engulfing pattern on the 15-minute chart at $0.0325, the price tested and failed to hold key support levels. A significant bearish trend is apparent, confirmed by multiple breakdowns of previous lows, including a critical level near $0.0320. The formation of a “falling wedge” during the early morning hours appears to have resolved with a bearish bias.
On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages (MAs) are in a strong downward bias. Price has remained well below both indicators for most of the period, suggesting a bearish continuation. On the daily timeframe, the 50- and 100-period MAs may provide further support levels in the next 24 hours. The 200-period MA appears to be acting as a long-term resistance, which could cap potential rebounds.
The MACD has shown bearish momentum with consistent negative readings, confirming the downward bias. A bearish crossover occurred around 02:15 ET, aligning with the price breakdown. RSI has moved into oversold territory, dipping below 30 during the past 6 hours, which may suggest a short-term bounce. However, the RSI divergence (higher lows in volume with lower lows in price) does not provide strong reversal signals at this time.
Price has expanded well below the lower Bollinger Band for much of the 24-hour period, indicating high volatility and a strong bearish bias. A retest of the band or a bounce above the 20-period MA could trigger a temporary retracement, but the band remains a useful guide for identifying potential entry or stop-loss points in the short term.
Volume surged during the early hours of August 21, peaking around 02:30 ET with a 15-minute volume of 4.5 million units. The notional turnover also spiked during this time, aligning with the breakdown of key support levels. The volume divergence during the late-night to early morning period is a sign of conviction behind the bearish move. However, recent volume has cooled slightly, suggesting the pace of the downtrend may be easing somewhat.
Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the recent 15-minute swing high at $0.03291 and low at $0.03039, key retracement levels sit at 38.2% (~$0.03163) and 61.8% (~$0.03117). A bounce within these ranges could indicate a retracement within the larger downtrend. On the daily chart, the 61.8% level of the broader move remains a watchful area for near-term support.
Looking ahead, a possible short-term bounce into the $0.0310–$0.0315 range appears likely, but the overall bearish momentum suggests a retest of lower Fibonacci levels or even further consolidation below $0.0305 may follow. Traders should remain cautious for potential volatility and watch for divergences in volume and momentum indicators.
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