Market Overview for Holoworld AI/Tether (HOLOUSDT): October 29, 2025

• HOLOUSDT declines sharply from 0.1478 to 0.1369, signaling bearish momentum and high volatility.
• Volume spikes after 19:30 ET confirm a key breakdown below 0.1440.
• RSI and MACD indicate oversold conditions, but downward pressure remains strong.
• Bollinger Bands show extreme contraction prior to the selloff, suggesting a directional move.
• Fibonacci levels at 0.1405 and 0.1370 appear relevant for short-term support and potential reversals.

24-Hour Performance

Holoworld AI/Tether (HOLOUSDT) opened at 0.1464 on October 28 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of 0.1480 before falling to a low of 0.1369 by 04:30 ET the following day, closing at 0.1371. The 24-hour volume totaled over 10.4 million tokens, with notional turnover surging to $1.58 million. Price action has shown clear bearish control after 19:30 ET, with a breakdown below key support at 0.1440.

Structure & Formations

The price of HOLOUSDT has displayed a strong bearish bias following a sharp breakdown below 0.1440, with the 19:30 candle forming a large bearish engulfing pattern that confirmed the shift in momentum. The price has remained below this level since, with a bearish continuation evident in the next several hours. A long lower shadow appears at 0.1441, indicating rejection at that level. The 0.1405 and 0.1370 levels may now serve as key Fibonacci retracement levels from the 0.1480 high to 0.1369 low.

Technical Indicators

The 15-minute MACD and RSI have both entered oversold territory, with RSI dipping below 30 and MACD forming a bearish cross. However, these indicators are not signaling a reversal yet, suggesting that the selloff may continue in the near term. The Bollinger Bands have contracted significantly before the selloff, indicating potential volatility. The price has now moved to the lower Bollinger Band, reinforcing the bearish pressure.

The 20- and 50-period moving averages are both below the current price, with the 50-period line at 0.1443 acting as a bearish resistance. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA is at 0.1450, with the 200-period at 0.1465 suggesting that the price may struggle to recover without a strong reversal.

Volume and Turnover Analysis

Volume spiked dramatically after 19:30 ET as the price broke below 0.1440, with a single 15-minute candle showing 964,556.3 volume units and a price drop of 0.1473 to 0.1441. This confirms the breakdown with strong bearish conviction. Notional turnover also surged, confirming the move. However, volume in the subsequent 15-minute candle at 0.1405 was relatively weaker, suggesting a potential short-term consolidation.

Backtest Hypothesis

A potential backtest strategy involves identifying the bearish engulfing pattern observed on the 19:30 ET candle as a sell signal. This pattern formed with a high of 0.1473 and a low of 0.1441, followed by a clear continuation to 0.1369. A short entry could have been triggered at the close of the 19:30 candle, with a stop above the high of 0.1473 and a target aligned with Fibonacci levels at 0.1370 and 0.1369. The MACD and RSI confirm a strong bearish momentum post-breakdown, making this a viable candidate for a 1-day short trade.