Market Overview for Hedera/Tether (HBARUSDT)

Tuesday, Dec 16, 2025 6:43 pm ET1min read
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- HBARUSDT broke above 0.1140 with 30% higher volume, confirming a bullish breakout pattern.

- RSI (74) near overbought levels and MACD expansion suggest sustained upward momentum.

- Price remains above key moving averages, with 0.1150-0.1160 as next target zone.

- Volatility surged in final 3 hours, validating the breakout with no volume-price divergence.

- A close below 0.1130 could trigger short-term risks after closing near upper Bollinger Band.

Summary
• Price moved in a narrow range before surging above 0.1140 and forming a bullish breakout.
• RSI and MACD show strengthening momentum, with RSI approaching overbought territory.
• Volatility expanded during the final 3 hours, with volume increasing 30% from the 24-hour average.
• A potential bullish engulfing pattern formed at 0.1140 after a consolidation phase.
• HBARUSDT remains above key 20- and 50-period moving averages, suggesting short-term bullish bias.

The 24-hour session for HBARUSDT began at 0.11359, reached a high of 0.11697, and closed at 0.11407 near 12:00 ET. The pair traded as low as 0.11164 and saw a total volume of 124,732,315 HBAR and a notional turnover of approximately $13,971,192.

Structure & Moving Averages


Price action showed a key consolidation phase between 0.1122 and 0.1145, followed by a strong break above 0.1145. The 5-minute 20- and 50-period moving averages are currently aligned in a bullish configuration, with the 50-period line just below the current close. Daily moving averages (50, 100, 200) are broadly supportive, with the 200-period line acting as a key long-term support at 0.1115.

Momentum Indicators


RSI climbed into overbought territory (74) by the close, signaling a potential pullback. MACD crossed into positive territory in the final 4 hours and is building, with a rising histogram. This suggests that upward momentum is still intact and could extend higher in the near term.

Volatility and Volume


Volatility expanded significantly in the final 3 hours of the session, with a 30% increase in volume from the 24-hour average. Notional turnover also surged during this period, confirming the recent breakout move. No significant divergence between volume and price was observed, which supports the validity of the current bullish trend.

Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci Levels


Price closed near the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting a period of high volatility and potential exhaustion. On the Fibonacci scale, the 0.1140–0.1150 range represents key 38.2% to 50% retracement levels from a prior decline. A break above 0.1156 (61.8% retracement) could confirm a broader bullish trend.

Hedera/Tether appears to be in a short-term bullish phase with strong confirmation from volume and momentum indicators. Investors may monitor the 0.1150–0.1160 range for continuation signals. A pullback to 0.1140 could trigger renewed buying, but a failure to hold above 0.1130 may increase short-term risk.