Market Overview for Hashflow/Bitcoin (HFTBTC): 24-Hour Analysis
• Price declined to 6.7e-07, down from 7.1e-07 after forming bearish engulfing and hanging man patterns.
• Volatility remained low, with price consolidating within a narrow range for most of the session.
• Low volume and turnover suggest weak conviction in directional moves, signaling potential range-bound trading.
• RSI approached oversold levels but failed to confirm a rebound, hinting at bearish exhaustion.
• Bollinger Bands remained compressed, suggesting potential for a breakout but with limited conviction.
Hashflow/Bitcoin (HFTBTC) opened at 7.1e-07 on 2025-09-24 at 12:00 ET and closed at 6.7e-07 on 2025-09-25 at 12:00 ET. The price reached a high of 7.1e-07 and a low of 6.5e-07. Total volume was 461,651.9, and notional turnover amounted to 0.258 BTC. The pair spent much of the session in consolidation, with limited volatility and bearish momentum taking hold.
The price formed multiple bearish candlestick patterns, including a key bearish engulfing pattern around 2025-09-24 19:30 and a hanging man at 2025-09-25 02:30. These patterns suggest a loss of buyer momentum and increased bear pressure. The price also broke below key support levels around 6.8e-07 and 6.7e-07, with the 20-period EMA on the 15-minute chart now below the 50-period line, indicating further bearish bias. However, the 50-period and 200-period daily EMAs are still aligned, with the 20-period above the 50-period, suggesting short-term bearishness but a longer-term neutral to slightly bullish stance.
MACD showed a bearish crossover with the signal line, and the histogram was negative for much of the session. RSI dipped below 30, reaching 28 at one point, but failed to generate a convincing rebound, which could suggest exhaustion on the sell side. Bollinger Bands were narrow for most of the day, with price closing near the lower band, indicating a potential breakout scenario. However, the low volume during this move suggests limited conviction in the bearish direction.
Fibonacci retracement levels for the most recent 15-minute swing showed price consolidating near the 61.8% level at 6.7e-07, a potential area of support or consolidation. On the daily chart, the price is trading near the 38.2% retracement level of a recent swing, which may serve as a short-term floor. Traders should watch for a break below 6.7e-07, as it may lead to a test of the 6.5e-07 level. Conversely, a strong close above 6.8e-07 could trigger a retest of the 6.9e-07 level.
The backtesting strategy involves using a combination of the 20-period and 50-period EMAs on the 15-minute chart, alongside RSI and Bollinger Bands. A long signal is generated when the 20 EMA crosses above the 50 EMA, RSI is above 40, and price is above the upper Bollinger Band. A short signal is generated when the 20 EMA crosses below the 50 EMA, RSI is below 60, and price is below the lower Bollinger Band. Stop-loss and take-profit levels are set based on Fibonacci retracements and key candlestick patterns, such as bearish or bullish engulfing. Traders should also watch for divergence between volume and price to confirm or reject potential breakouts.
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