Market Overview: Harmony/Tether (ONEUSDT) on 2025-12-26

Friday, Dec 26, 2025 12:29 pm ET1min read
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- ONEUSDT formed a bullish engulfing pattern near 0.00366, with RSI/MACD confirming a buy signal at 0.00367.

- Overnight volatility saw price dip to 0.00355 before rebounding, with 0.00365/0.00362 as key resistance/support.

- Turnover surged 57% during 23:00-02:00 ET, aligning with Fibonacci support at 0.00362 and 61.8% retracement failure at 0.00358.

- 5-minute Bollinger Bands widened 10% during the swing, suggesting heightened accumulation amid mixed short-covering signals.

Summary
• Price formed a bullish engulfing pattern near 0.00366, suggesting short-term strength.
• Volatility expanded overnight, with price dipping to 0.00355 before rebounding above 0.00364.
• RSI and MACD aligned in a buy signal around 0.00367, indicating sustained momentum.
• Turnover surged during the 23:00–02:00 ET window, reflecting increased accumulation or profit-taking.
• 0.00365 and 0.00362 appear as key 5-minute resistance and support, respectively.

The Harmony/Tether (ONEUSDT) pair opened at 0.00368 on 2025-12-25 at 12:00 ET and reached a high of 0.0037 and a low of 0.00353 before closing at 0.00367 on 2025-12-26 at 12:00 ET. The total 24-hour volume was 24,972,089.5 units, with a notional turnover of 90,084.67 USD.

Structure & Formations


A bullish engulfing pattern formed near 0.00366 during the early hours of the session, as price closed higher after a 5-minute candle opened at 0.00366 and closed at 0.00367. This pattern, combined with a rebound from 0.00355, indicates a possible short-term reversal in bearish sentiment. The 0.00365 level acted as a key resistance, while 0.00362 held as a strong support during overnight trading.

Moving Averages and Momentum Indicators


On the 5-minute chart, price traded above the 20-period moving average (20MA), indicating some upward bias. The 50-period moving average (50MA) crossed above the 20MA during the rebound from 0.00358, supporting a potential short-term uptrend. MACD turned positive, aligning with the bullish engulfing pattern, while RSI crossed into overbought territory at 64 during the peak at 0.00368. This suggests strong but not extreme momentum.

Volatility and Bollinger Bands


Volatility expanded during the overnight selloff from 0.00368 to 0.00355, with price trading below the 20-period Bollinger Band lower bound. The bounce back above 0.00364 saw price returning toward the upper half of the bands, suggesting a return in bullish volatility. The 5-minute Bollinger Band width increased by ~10% during the 0.00366–0.00355 swing, signaling heightened trading activity.

Volume and Turnover Divergence


Volume spiked during the selloff from 0.00368 to 0.00358, with a 5-minute turnover of 5,715.7 USD at 0.00358, indicating accumulation or panic selling. Turnover continued rising as price rebounded above 0.00364, reaching a high of 8,872.5 USD at 0.00368. The divergence between the selloff volume and subsequent buy-side volume suggests a possible short-covering rally.

Fibonacci Retracements


Applying Fibonacci to the 0.00368 to 0.00355 swing, price found initial support at 38.2% (0.00362) and rebounded from it. The 61.8% retracement level at 0.00358 failed to hold, indicating strong demand at that level. This supports a view of 0.00364–0.00367 as the next likely range.

Looking ahead, the 0.00368–0.0037 area may see renewed interest, but a retest of 0.00362–0.00364 could occur if volume wanes. Investors should be cautious of a potential pullback into 0.00365–0.00366 if the RSI overextends into overbought territory.