Market Overview for Hamster Kombat/Tether (HMSTRUSDT) – 2025-10-24

• Price tested key resistance at $0.000421, with a 0.000419–0.000422 range consolidating recent momentum.
• Volume surged during the 04:45–05:00 ET window, coinciding with a sharp 0.000421–0.000425 upward move.
• RSI hovered near 60–65, suggesting moderate bullish momentum without entering overbought territory.
• 20-period MA on the 15-minute chart lagged behind price, reflecting a potential continuation setup.
• Bollinger Bands showed a modest contraction post-12:00 ET, hinting at possible volatility expansion ahead.

Hamster Kombat/Tether (HMSTRUSDT) opened at $0.000414 on 2025-10-23 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of $0.000425 and a low of $0.000411 before closing at $0.000419 on 2025-10-24 at 12:00 ET. Total volume over the 24-hour period was 613,096,864.5, with a notional turnover of approximately $255,491. The price action reflects moderate bullish momentum amid mixed volume signals.

The 15-minute chart shows the price consolidating between key support at $0.000416 and resistance at $0.000421, with a bullish bias evident during the 05:00–06:00 ET window. A bearish reversal pattern emerged briefly around 21:00 ET as the price tested the 0.000411 level before rebounding. The 20-period moving average remains below the 50-period MA, suggesting the trend may remain range-bound in the near term.

MACD (12, 26, 9) indicates a potential bullish crossover as the line approached the signal line, particularly after the 04:45 ET surge. RSI oscillated between 50 and 65 for much of the day, avoiding overbought conditions but showing consistent buying pressure. Bollinger Bands experienced a slight contraction post-12:00 ET, signaling potential for a breakout or continuation within the established range.

Fibonacci retracement levels from the key $0.000411–$0.000425 swing suggest the 61.8% level at $0.000420 could act as a short-term cap. The 38.2% retracement at $0.000418 appears to have already seen action and could serve as a pivot for near-term buyers. Daily moving averages (50, 100, 200) remain above current levels, reinforcing the likelihood of continued consolidation ahead of a breakout attempt.

Backtest Hypothesis: To evaluate the effectiveness of a MACD Golden Cross strategy, we would run an event-driven backtest using the HMSTRUSDT OHLC data from 2022-01-01 to 2025-10-24. The strategy would go long on HMSTRUSDT when the MACD line crosses above the signal line, with a stop-loss placed at the recent swing low and a take-profit at the 1.618 Fibonacci extension of the entry move. Historical performance metrics, including average returns, hit rate, and maximum drawdown, would then be calculated. This aligns with the MACD and RSI behavior observed today, which suggests the indicator is primed for a potential crossover event in the near future.