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• Volatility expanded in mid-session, with a high of 1.501e-05 and a low of 1.45e-05.
• Volume spiked to 50,842 on the rally, but failed to hold gains into the close.
• RSI shows overbought levels early, followed by oversold conditions at the close, indicating exhaustion.
• No clear bullish continuation pattern formed during the session.
The GUNZ/BNB pair opened at 1.465e-05 on 2025-11-10 at 12:00 ET and closed at 1.465e-05 on 2025-11-11 at 12:00 ET. The 24-hour high reached 1.501e-05, while the low touched 1.45e-05. Total trading volume amounted to 728,329, and notional turnover for the 24-hour window was approximately 10.68 BNB.
Throughout the session, the price exhibited a volatile but ultimately bearish bias, with a key consolidation period forming between 1.471e-05 and 1.483e-05. A failed bullish attempt in the evening highlighted a lack of conviction in the market. Support levels emerged at 1.471e-05 and 1.465e-05, with resistance forming around 1.483e-05 and 1.489e-05. A notable bearish engulfing pattern formed around 19:45 ET, indicating a shift in
. However, no strong continuation patterns followed, suggesting traders may remain cautious heading into the next 24 hours.The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart remained in a tight range for most of the session, with price fluctuating above and below them. The 50-period line held a slight bearish bias, while the 20-period line showed intermittent bullish divergence. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA remained above the 100- and 200-period lines, suggesting a long-term bearish trend in the broader context.
Momentum indicators reflected mixed signals. The RSI oscillated between overbought and oversold levels, with a peak at 68 during the early rally and a trough at 33 at the close, indicating a potential exhaustion of both buyers and sellers. The MACD line crossed into negative territory during the late hours and remained bearish, with a narrowing histogram suggesting a slowdown in the downward pressure. Bollinger Bands showed an expansion in the late afternoon, with price reaching the upper band before retreating toward the middle. This suggests increased volatility but no strong directional bias.

Volume activity peaked in the early evening session, particularly around 19:30 ET and 22:15 ET, when the price attempted to break above 1.48e-05. However, the volume failed to confirm the rally, and price action retraced sharply afterward. This divergence between volume and price is a warning sign for short-term bullish assumptions. Turnover increased during key resistance tests but lacked the strength to push past 1.489e-05. The lack of volume during the final hours, particularly between 01:45 and 04:00 ET, suggested a cooling off in market participation.
Fibonacci retracement levels applied to the recent swing high (1.501e-05) and low (1.45e-05) show key levels at 1.479e-05 (38.2%), 1.471e-05 (61.8%), and 1.462e-05 (78.6%). The price found support at the 61.8% level around 1.471e-05 but failed to hold above it. For daily Fibonacci levels, a similar pattern is forming, with potential support near 1.45e-05 and resistance at 1.489e-05. Traders should watch for a breakdown below 1.456e-05 to confirm a more bearish outlook.
Backtest Hypothesis
To validate potential trend-following opportunities, a strategy could be tested using the candlestick patterns observed today—particularly the bearish engulfing candle at 19:45 ET. A simple backtest could trigger a sell signal at the open of the following candle and close the position at the next bearish engulfing pattern or at the close of the session. This would align with the bearish momentum seen in RSI and MACD. To keep the strategy straightforward, it could be tested from 2022-01-01 to 2025-11-11 using 15-minute OHLC data, with no stop-loss or take-profit levels to assess the raw effectiveness of the pattern. Given the volume divergence noted earlier, this strategy should be applied with caution, as volume did not confirm the price movement.
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