Market Overview for Gravity/Tether (GUSDT) – 2025-09-25 12:00 ET

• Gravity/Tether (GUSDT) traded in a 24-hour range of 0.00983–0.01048, closing near the lower end with bearish bias.
• Momentum weakened as RSI hit 30, suggesting oversold conditions with potential for a short-term rebound.
• Volatility expanded during the 24-hour window, with volume peaking at over 3M contracts in late ET hours.
• A bullish engulfing pattern emerged near 0.01002–0.01004, hinting at potential support in that region.
• Divergence between price and volume in the final 6 hours suggests mixed conviction among traders.

At 12:00 ET on 2025-09-25, Gravity/Tether (GUSDT) opened at 0.01041, reached a high of 0.01048, and closed at 0.00996 after hitting a low of 0.00983. Total volume for the 24-hour period was 34,508,609 contracts, with a notional turnover of approximately $343,120 (assuming $1 per contract). The price structure showed a bearish trend with expanding volatility and multiple tests of key support and resistance levels.

Structure & Formations

The 15-minute chart revealed a series of bearish and bullish reversals throughout the 24-hour window. Key support emerged near 0.01000–0.01005, where multiple bullish engulfing and inside bar patterns appeared, signaling potential short-covering or buying interest. Resistance was found at 0.01025–0.01030, with several candles failing to close above those levels. A notable 3-wave bearish structure emerged from 0.01046 to 0.00996, suggesting a possible continuation of the downward trend. The most significant pattern was a bullish engulfing near 0.01002–0.01004, indicating a potential bounce from that level.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period moving averages were below the price, reinforcing the bearish bias. The 50-period MA sat just below 0.01015, while the 20-period MA hovered near 0.01009. On the daily chart, the 50-period MA was around 0.01028, and the 200-period MA was near 0.01033. Price remained below the 50/200 MA, indicating bearish momentum in the longer term. The 100-period MA added confirmation to the bearish setup, as it was also below key resistance levels.

MACD & RSI

The MACD histogram showed a bearish divergence in the last 6 hours, with negative momentum building as the price dipped toward 0.00996. The RSI indicator dropped below 30 during the same period, indicating an oversold condition, although this may be a false signal given the strong volume and bearish price action. A potential rally could see the RSI rebound above 30, but a sustained break below 30 may indicate further downside. Momentum remains mixed, with bearish force outweighing bullish attempts.

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands expanded as the price dropped from 0.01048 to 0.00983, signaling a period of high volatility. The price spent most of the 24-hour window near the lower band, particularly after 12:00 ET on 2025-09-25. A contraction phase was observed briefly near 0.01005–0.01008, suggesting a potential reversal or consolidation period. The price remained below the 20-period MA within the bands, indicating a bearish trend is still in place.

Volume & Turnover

Volume increased significantly in the last 6 hours of the 24-hour window, peaking at over 3M contracts, but price failed to follow through with a bullish breakout. This suggests mixed conviction and potential for a continuation of the bearish trend. Turnover spiked near key support levels, especially around 0.01000–0.01005, indicating accumulation by buyers. However, the lack of a strong follow-through in price suggests that sellers still hold the upper hand.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracements to the recent 0.01048 to 0.00983 swing, 38.2% (0.01023) and 61.8% (0.00999) levels were tested multiple times. The 61.8% level at 0.00999 became a strong support, with the price bouncing off it in the final 6 hours. A breakdown below 0.00996 could see the next target at 0.00983, which is the prior 24-hour low. A bounce above 0.01005 could test the 38.2% level at 0.01023, though that appears to be a weaker level at this point.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the observed bearish momentum and key support at 0.00999–0.01005, a backtesting strategy could be developed using a short entry setup based on a close below the 61.8% Fibonacci level and confirmation by a bearish engulfing pattern. A stop-loss could be placed above the 38.2% level at 0.01023, with a target set at 0.00983. Volume-based filters could help validate the strength of the short entry, with higher volume at the 61.8% level increasing confidence in the trade setup. This strategy would align with the bearish continuation bias seen in the 24-hour analysis.