Market Overview for Gravity/Tether (GUSDT) as of 2025-09-18

• Gravity/Tether (GUSDT) traded in a tight range for most of the 24-hour period before showing a late rally toward the high of $0.01153.
• Momentum indicators suggest a potential overbought condition late in the session, with the RSI peaking near overbought levels.
• Volatility expanded significantly in the late hours, with increased volume and price swings suggesting accumulation or distribution activity.
• Bollinger Bands show price moving closer to the upper band in the final hours, indicating rising bullish pressure.
• Turnover spiked in the final six hours of the period, with a total notional volume of over $15.5 million traded.

GUSDT opened at $0.011 on 2025-09-17 12:00 ET, reaching a high of $0.01153 and a low of $0.01095 before closing at $0.01141 on 2025-09-18 12:00 ET. Total volume across the 24-hour period was 41,980,338, and notional turnover (amount × price) stood at approximately $475,234, with a late spike in both metrics. Price action showed consolidation early on, followed by a gradual rise toward the end of the session.

Structure & Formations

Price remained in a tight range between $0.01095 and $0.01115 for the first 10 hours of the period, suggesting a buildup of buying pressure. A bullish engulfing pattern emerged around 2025-09-17 20:15:00, indicating a potential reversal. A key support level was identified near $0.01102, with the price bouncing from this level multiple times. Resistance at $0.01126–$0.01134 was tested several times, with a successful break above occurring in the final four hours of the session.

Moving Averages

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period moving average crossed above the 50-period line around 2025-09-17 19:30:00, signaling a short-term bullish bias. The 50-period line remained above the 100-period line for the majority of the session, reinforcing the longer-term positive trend. Daily chart moving averages indicate the 50-period line is above the 200-period line, suggesting an upward trend remains intact.

MACD & RSI

The MACD line crossed above the signal line around 2025-09-17 19:15:00, indicating a bullish crossover. The histogram showed an expanding positive area in the final six hours of the session, aligning with the upward price movement. RSI reached a high of 68 near the end of the session, approaching overbought territory. While this does not confirm a top, it may suggest caution for aggressive longs if the indicator fails to diverge from rising prices.

Bollinger Bands

Volatility remained low for most of the session, with price hovering near the middle band until 2025-09-17 20:00:00. After that time, volatility expanded, and price began to trade closer to the upper band. The 20-period Bollinger Bands widened significantly in the final hours, indicating a potential breakout or consolidation phase. The price currently sits just below the upper band, suggesting continued bullish momentum.

Volume & Turnover

Volume increased steadily in the final six hours of the period, peaking at over 3.1 million units in the first 15-minute candle on 2025-09-18 00:15:00. Notional turnover also spiked in this period, confirming the price action with strong volume support. There was no significant divergence between price and volume during the rally, suggesting the move was driven by genuine demand rather than manipulation.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the recent swing low at $0.01095 and swing high at $0.01153, key levels at 38.2% ($0.01126) and 61.8% ($0.01142) were tested and partially confirmed. The current price near $0.01141 aligns closely with the 61.8% level, suggesting a potential pause or consolidation. A break above this level could target the next Fibonacci extension at $0.01156.

Backtest Hypothesis

Given the late-session bullish setup, including a bullish engulfing pattern, rising momentum, and strong volume confirmation, a backtest could explore a 15-minute breakout strategy based on a close above the 61.8% Fibonacci level and a positive RSI divergence. A hypothetical entry at $0.01142 with a stop below $0.01136 and a target at $0.01156 would align with the observed price behavior. This strategy could be backtested across similar 24-hour periods to assess consistency and risk-reward ratios.