Market Overview: Golem/Bitcoin (GLMBTC) – November 11, 2025

Summary
• Golem/Bitcoin (GLMBTC) edged higher by 1.89% in 24 hours, showing modest bullish momentum.
• Volatility expanded mid-session, with price breaking above a 61.8% Fibonacci level.
• Macroeconomic volume spiked during the 2045–2100 ET window, confirming a key breakout.

At 12:00 ET–1 on November 10, 2025, Golem/Bitcoin (GLMBTC) opened at 2.14e-06 and reached an intraday high of 2.33e-06 before closing at 2.25e-06 at 12:00 ET on November 11. The pair recorded a total volume of 482,150 contracts and a notional turnover of approximately $1.07, highlighting increased engagement and volatility during the session.

Structure & Formations

The price action displayed a clear bullish breakout from a 2.21e-06–2.25e-06 consolidation range, with a key 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 2.29e-06 acting as a temporary ceiling. A bearish divergence on the 15-minute chart during the 2100–2130 ET window failed to hold, and the price instead formed a bullish piercing pattern around 2.22e-06, suggesting renewed demand.

Moving Averages and MACD

On the 15-minute chart, the 20-period and 50-period SMAs crossed in a golden cross, reinforcing the upward trend. The MACD histogram showed expansion after 19:30 ET, indicating growing momentum. The RSI hovered above 50 for much of the session, with a brief dip into oversold territory (below 30) at 01:30 ET, which was quickly rejected to the upside.

Bollinger Bands and Volatility

Volatility widened significantly from 20:45 ET onward, with the price breaking above the upper Bollinger band for the first time in the 24-hour period. This expansion was accompanied by a sharp increase in volume, suggesting institutional participation or a market re-rating of GLM’s BTC value.

Volume & Turnover

Notable volume spikes occurred at 20:45 ET (107,803 contracts) and 23:45 ET (48,215 contracts), both coinciding with price surges above key psychological levels. Turnover during these periods was above average, suggesting confirmation rather than divergence. The total volume/turnover ratio was consistent, indicating genuine buying pressure rather than wash trading.

Fibonacci Retracements

The 61.8% retracement level at 2.29e-06 acted as a pivot point, with price bouncing off it multiple times before the final breakout. Earlier 15-minute swings between 2.12e-06 and 2.19e-06 were retraced at 38.2% (2.16e-06) and 50% (2.16e-06), with the latter serving as a support level during the 23:00–00:00 ET pullback.

Backtest Hypothesis

The GLMBTC pair aligns with a backtesting hypothesis centered on MACD top/bottom divergence and RSI overbought/oversold signals. A bearish divergence on the MACD around 21:15 ET was followed by a failed short, while a bullish divergence on the 15-minute chart at 05:30 ET coincided with a sharp rally. For RSI, the 30–70 threshold was crossed three times, with bounces off the 30-level confirming strong bullish bias. This suggests that a backtest could leverage a bullish entry on MACD bottom divergence and a target exit on RSI overbought levels (> 70). Common settings—RSI(14), MACD(12,26,9)—would suffice, but divergence timing must align with breakout volume.