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Summary
• Price declined from 2.5e-06 to 2.37e-06, forming bearish engulfing patterns near key levels.
• RSI below 30 signals oversold conditions, but volume remains muted, reducing bullish conviction.
• Volatility remained low throughout, with Bollinger Bands compressed, hinting at a possible breakout.
Golem/Bitcoin (GLMBTC) opened at 2.5e-06 on December 8 at 12:00 ET, reaching a high of 2.51e-06 and a low of 2.36e-06 before closing at 2.37e-06 on December 9 at 12:00 ET. Total traded volume over 24 hours was 59,995.0 units, with a notional turnover of approximately 143.76 USD.
Structure & Key Levels
The pair exhibited a clear bearish bias throughout the 24-hour window, with price forming a series of bearish engulfing patterns between 2.5e-06 and 2.47e-06. A potential support level appears to be forming near 2.36e-06, where price found a temporary floor. The 2.48e-06 level served as a critical psychological barrier, and its breach signaled the start of a more sustained downward move.
Volatility and Momentum
Volatility remained subdued, with Bollinger Bands contracting tightly around the price action for much of the period. This contraction typically precedes a breakout, though the direction remains uncertain. MACD remained negative, reinforcing the bearish momentum, while RSI dipped below 30, indicating oversold conditions. However, the lack of volume accompanying the downward move weakens the strength of the bearish signal.
Volume and Turnover Analysis
Volume surged at 21:30 ET when price broke below 2.47e-06, reaching a peak of 4,116.0 units, but remained largely absent in the final hours of the period. The low volume in the oversold region suggests limited follow-through buying, reducing the chances of a strong reversal in the short term. Turnover closely followed volume trends, with the most significant spike occurring during the 21:30 ET session.
Fibonacci and Confluence Levels
A Fibonacci retracement drawn from the 2.51e-06 high to the 2.36e-06 low suggests possible confluence at the 61.8% level near 2.43e-06. This area could serve as a potential resistance on any near-term bounce. The 38.2% level at 2.46e-06 has already been tested multiple times, and further downward movement could target the 2.34e-06 level.
Moving averages on the 5-minute chart suggest a short-term bearish bias, with the price remaining below all key moving averages (20 and 50-period). The daily chart remains neutral, with the 50-period MA hovering near 2.45e-06.
Looking ahead, GLMBTC may test the 2.36e-06 support level again, with a potential rebound toward 2.46e-06 expected if buying interest emerges. However, traders should remain cautious, as low volume and muted momentum increase the risk of a continuation of the downward trend.
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