Market Overview for Gains Network/Tether (GNSUSDT)
• GNSUSDT fell to a 24-hour low of 1.721 before rebounding with a bullish reversal pattern near 1.725.
• Momentum turned positive in the final 6 hours, with RSI showing oversold conditions earlier in the session.
• Volatility expanded during the midday dip, but volume surged during the rebound.
• Price remains within a descending Bollinger Band, suggesting a potential bearish bias unless 1.775 is cleared.
• Fibonacci support at 1.721 held temporarily, but a break below 1.718 could trigger further declines.
Gains Network/Tether (GNSUSDT) opened at 1.772 on 2025-09-25 at 12:00 ET and closed at 1.741 on 2025-09-26 at 12:00 ET, with a daily high of 1.789 and a low of 1.711. Total trading volume over 24 hours was 54,702.78, with a notional turnover of 95,276.13.
The pair formed a bearish structure early on, marked by strong volume during the midday sell-off. A significant bullish reversal pattern emerged around 1.725, as buying pressure intensified. The 15-minute chart shows the price found support at 1.721—part of a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from the prior swing high. This level held through the afternoon, but a break below it could accelerate the downward move. Key resistance appears at 1.755, where a cluster of previous highs and a 38.2% retracement converge.
The 20-period moving average on the 15-minute chart crossed below the 50-period line, reinforcing bearish momentum. RSI dropped into oversold territory around 1.721 but has since shown signs of recovery, indicating potential accumulation. Bollinger Bands expanded during the early sell-off but have started to contract, signaling a potential period of consolidation or breakout. The MACD has turned positive in recent hours, though a sustained move above the signal line is still needed for a confirmed bullish signal.
Volume spiked significantly during the midday sell-off and again during the afternoon rebound. Notional turnover aligned with volume spikes, suggesting genuine participation rather than wash trading. However, price and turnover diverged slightly in the late morning, when volume increased but price failed to break a key support level. This could signal lingering bearish sentiment despite the rebound.
Backtest Hypothesis
Given the strong volume at 1.721 and the bullish reversal pattern around that level, a potential strategy could involve entering a long position with a stop-loss just below 1.718 and a take-profit near 1.755. A 15-minute RSI divergence could serve as an early signal of strength or weakness. This approach aligns with the 20-period EMA crossing above the 50-period line as confirmation. A backtest would need to assess how often such setups lead to successful short-term trades across similar market conditions.
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