Market Overview: Flow/Tether (FLOWUSDT) - October 25, 2025

• FLOWUSDT declined from a high of $0.275 to $0.271, closing near the day’s low.
• Momentum remains subdued, with RSI hovering below 50 and no clear overbought/oversold extremes.
• Volatility expanded in early ET, then stabilized as price action consolidated near $0.271.
• Key support at $0.270 appears intact, with a potential pivot at $0.273–0.275.
• Downtrend pressure is moderate, with volume skewed to bearish 15-minute periods.

The Flow/Tether (FLOWUSDT) pair opened at $0.271 on October 24 at 16:00 ET and closed at $0.271 at 12:00 ET on October 25. The 24-hour range was between $0.269 and $0.275. Total volume traded was 512,135.29 FLOW, with a notional turnover of approximately $138,483. The market exhibited a sideways-to-bearish tone, with price consolidating near its lower end of the range, indicating caution among traders.

Structure and formations suggest a key support zone forming near $0.271–0.270, where multiple 15-minute candles found buying interest. A bearish engulfing pattern emerged in the morning ET hours (10:30–10:45 ET), signaling a short-term pullback. However, the lack of follow-through below $0.270 and the emergence of doji-like candles in the late hours may indicate a potential reversal or consolidation. Resistance appears clustered between $0.273 and $0.275, but these levels have yet to be decisively tested.

The 20-period and 50-period moving averages on the 15-minute chart have crossed into a bearish alignment, with the 20-period lagging below the 50-period. This suggests short-term bearish momentum, though the daily chart shows a more neutral bias, with the 50-day and 100-day moving averages closely aligned. MACD remains in negative territory, with a small bearish divergence observed in the afternoon. RSI has yet to enter oversold territory, indicating that downward pressure may continue unless volume increases at lower levels.

Bollinger Bands widened during the early ET hours but have since narrowed, suggesting a temporary reduction in volatility. Price has remained near the lower band for much of the session, hinting at bearish bias. Notably, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.272 acted as a minor support during intraday swings, and the 61.8% level at $0.274 served as a ceiling during minor rallies. These levels may remain relevant in the near term as price attempts to retest them.

Backtest Hypothesis
Given the current limitations of the backtesting tools, we propose applying a daily Doji-Star pattern recognition strategy for FLOWUSDT. A Doji-Star candle typically signals indecision and may act as a potential reversal pattern. The strategy would entail entering a long position at the next day’s open following the formation of a bullish Doji-Star (a Doji with a gap down from the previous candle’s close) and holding for one trading day. Alternatively, a short position could be triggered following a bearish Doji-Star with a gap up. Historical performance on daily data would determine the viability of this approach. If the pattern proves profitable, it could be refined for intraday execution using the 15-minute data provided. Given the recent consolidation near key Fibonacci levels and the appearance of doji-like structures, this market appears worthy of further backtesting.