Market Overview for Flow/Tether (FLOWUSDT) as of 2025-11-11

Summary
• Price opened at 0.281 and closed at 0.284, showing a bullish bias on 15-min chart.
• High reached 0.288, low hit 0.278, indicating moderate intraday volatility.
• Volume surged during key bullish swings, confirming higher buying interest in up-moves.

Flow/Tether (FLOWUSDT) opened at 0.281 on 2025-11-10 at 12:00 ET and closed at 0.284 on 2025-11-11 at the same time. The 24-hour high was 0.288, and the low was 0.278, with the price settling near the upper half of the range. Total volume amounted to 19.2 million contracts, while notional turnover reached approximately $5.4 million over the period.

The 15-minute chart shows a complex price action, with a distinct bullish trend forming in the last 4 hours. Key resistance levels appear at 0.288 and 0.291, based on multiple rejections and high-volume clusters. On the downside, 0.281 and 0.279 have served as strong supports, with some consolidation seen in the 0.281–0.283 range. A notable bullish engulfing pattern appeared at 0.282–0.285, suggesting potential for a breakout.

Structure & Formations

Over the past 24 hours, FLOWUSDT displayed a series of ascending triangles and bullish flags, especially in the 15-minute timeframe. The price tested the 0.281 level multiple times, with each test showing stronger buying pressure. A doji appeared at 0.284, suggesting indecision between buyers and sellers. This could signal a potential reversal or consolidation phase ahead. On the daily chart, the 0.284 level coincides with a prior swing high, which could act as a psychological barrier.

Moving Averages

Short-term moving averages on the 15-minute chart show a clear bullish bias, with the 20-period moving average crossing above the 50-period line. This suggests momentum favoring the buyers in the immediate timeframe. On the daily chart, the 50-period moving average has crossed above the 100-period line, indicating a possible longer-term trend reversal. The 200-day moving average, currently at 0.275, remains a key level to monitor for potential trend continuation or correction.

MACD & RSI

The MACD line on the 15-minute chart has remained above the signal line for the past hour, reinforcing the bullish momentum. The histogram shows a steady increase in positive divergence, suggesting that the upward move is still gaining strength. The RSI has oscillated between 45 and 58, indicating that the price is not yet overbought. However, a cross above 60 may trigger short-term profit-taking. On the daily chart, the RSI is at 54, showing a balanced market with no clear overbought or oversold conditions.

Bollinger Bands

The price has been trading near the upper band of the Bollinger Bands on the 15-minute chart for the past 3 hours, indicating a period of high volatility and strength in the bullish move. The bands have widened significantly during key bullish swings, which is typical of a breakout phase. If the price continues to stay above the middle band, it may confirm the trend continuation. On the daily chart, the price is trading above the 20-day middle band, suggesting that the uptrend is still intact.

Volume & Turnover

Volume distribution reveals significant buying activity during the 0.281–0.288 price range, with the highest volume occurring between 0.283 and 0.285. The notional turnover spiked during this period, aligning with the price action. A divergence appears on the 15-minute chart where volume spiked higher during a bullish consolidation phase but failed to push the price above 0.288. This could indicate that the next breakout attempt may require stronger volume to confirm the move.

Fibonacci Retracements

Applying Fibonacci retracement levels to the recent 15-minute swing from 0.278 to 0.288, key levels include 0.282 (38.2%), 0.285 (61.8%), and 0.288 (100%). The price has tested 0.285 and 0.288 multiple times, with each test showing strong buying at these levels. On the daily chart, the 0.284 level aligns with the 61.8% retracement of a larger bearish swing from 0.291 to 0.279, suggesting that a pullback may find support in this area.

Backtest Hypothesis

The MACD Golden Cross, 3-Day Hold strategy on FLOWUSDT has historically performed poorly, delivering a cumulative loss of 47% with a maximum drawdown of 49% since January 2022. The average win is modest at 5.3%, while the average loss of –5.8% and low win rate drag the overall performance. Given the market’s prolonged bearish bias since late 2022, the short-term momentum from MACD crossovers has been insufficient to overcome sustained downward pressure. Future tests could explore longer holding periods, tighter risk controls, or additional trend filters to improve performance.